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Sprints still count in the standings and the title simulation, which plays every remaining race with today's strengths and the real points (25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1 for a feature race, 10-8-6-5-4-3-2-1 for a sprint)."],"glossary":[["Feature race","The Sunday race, from the qualifying grid, with a compulsory tyre stop."],["Sprint race","The shorter Saturday race, with the top ten from qualifying reversed."],["Team","The team's strength this season, shared by its two drivers, in rating points."],["Plackett–Luce","A model of a finishing order: the winner is picked in proportion to strength, then second from the rest, and so on."]],"notes":["Formula 2 is hard to call: every driver has the same car, most are in the series for only a season or two, and safety cars and tyre strategy reshuffle feature races. On the held-out seasons the model beats picking at random but not a plain average of recent finishes; both are on the model page.","Pole and fastest-lap bonus points count in the standings but aren't simulated for races still to run.","Seasons before this one come from Wikipedia's standings grid, which has every finish but not the points per race; those are recomputed from the finishing position.","Drivers who move up to Formula 1 or arrive from Formula 3 change the field each year; a newcomer starts from the average."],"sources":[["FIA Formula 2","https://www.fiaformula2.com/","This season's classifications and calendar, from the results API behind the official site"],["Wikipedia","https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_FIA_Formula_2_Championship","Every finish and every seat in the seasons before, from each season's standings grid and entry list"],["FIA Formula 2 live timing","https://www.fiaformula2.com/livetiming/index.html","The running order during a race"],["Meteostat and Open-Meteo","https://meteostat.net/","Weather at the circuit"]],"downloads":[{"file":"/data/f2/csv/next_event.csv","label":"Lusail sprint race: our odds for every entrant","rows":22},{"file":"/data/f2/csv/title_odds.csv","label":"Championship simulation (drivers)","rows":23},{"file":"/data/f2/csv/team_title_odds.csv","label":"Championship simulation (teams)","rows":11},{"file":"/data/f2/csv/ratings.csv","label":"Current ratings","rows":131},{"file":"/data/f2/csv/results.csv","label":"Results, 2024, 2025, 2026","rows":1750},{"file":"/data/f2/csv/track_record.csv","label":"Pre-event forecast for every holdout event","rows":40}]}