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Re-fit with --retune.","order_temperature":0.5,"title_noise":0.5},"weather":{"coverage":{"games":165,"with":154,"sources":{"station":140,"reanalysis":14}},"weight":0.7,"kept":true,"with":{"n":49,"log_loss":2.8554586535695785,"form_log_loss":2.8753630102569083,"uniform_log_loss":3.053131302060344,"avg_p_winner":0.06479510723765361,"avg_p_winner_form":0.06268424930402346,"fav_won":0.14285714285714285,"fav_won_form":0.14285714285714285,"avg_field":21.20408163265306},"without":{"n":49,"log_loss":2.869088794590739,"form_log_loss":2.8753630102569083,"uniform_log_loss":3.053131302060344,"avg_p_winner":0.0644176061406159,"avg_p_winner_form":0.06268424930402346,"fav_won":0.14285714285714285,"fav_won_form":0.14285714285714285,"avg_field":21.20408163265306},"wet_n":3,"wet_with":{"n":3,"log_loss":3.029040143189894,"form_log_loss":3.013332941772125,"uniform_log_loss":3.0275023334887656,"avg_p_winner":0.04903209631692471,"avg_p_winner_form":0.049719560149017274,"fav_won":0.0,"fav_won_form":0.0,"avg_field":20.666666666666668},"wet_without":{"n":3,"log_loss":3.217025671420462,"form_log_loss":3.013332941772125,"uniform_log_loss":3.0275023334887656,"avg_p_winner":0.042479466356609076,"avg_p_winner_form":0.049719560149017274,"fav_won":0.0,"fav_won_form":0.0,"avg_field":20.666666666666668},"thresholds":{"rain":1.0,"wind":40}}},"about":["A driver's rating is the driver plus the team's car that season. Formula E's energy management, Attack Mode and street circuits make it one of the least predictable series: winners come from far down the grid, and the favourite rarely has more than a one-in-five chance.","The title odds play every remaining E-Prix with today's strengths and the race points (25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1), on top of the points already scored, which include the three for pole and one for the fastest lap."],"glossary":[["Car","The team's strength this season, shared by its two drivers, in rating points."],["Driver","The driver's own strength beyond the car, in rating points."],["Double-header","Two races at the same venue on consecutive days, each scored on its own."],["Plackett–Luce","A model of a finishing order: the winner is picked in proportion to strength, then second from the rest, and so on."]],"notes":["Pole and fastest-lap bonus points count in the standings but aren't simulated for races still to run.","Retirements count as finishing behind every classified car, whatever the cause.","Formula E publishes a season's calendar in its results feed only once the season is set; until then the page shows the last season and the ratings."],"sources":[["Formula E","https://www.fiaformulae.com/en/results","Every E-Prix classification since 2014–15, the teams and the calendar, from Formula E's results API"],["Meteostat and Open-Meteo","https://meteostat.net/","Weather at the circuit"]],"downloads":[{"file":"/data/formula-e/csv/ratings.csv","label":"Current ratings","rows":89},{"file":"/data/formula-e/csv/results.csv","label":"Results, 2024, 2025, 2026","rows":1039},{"file":"/data/formula-e/csv/track_record.csv","label":"Pre-event forecast for every holdout event","rows":49}]}