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The title simulation plays every remaining race and sprint with today's strengths and the real points (25-20-16-13-11-10-9-8-7-6-5-4-3-2-1, and 12 down to 1 for a sprint)."],"glossary":[["Bike","The team's strength this season, shared by its two riders, in rating points."],["Rider","The rider's own strength beyond the bike, in rating points."],["Sprint","The Saturday race, half the Grand Prix distance, worth about half the points."],["Plackett–Luce","A model of a finishing order: the winner is picked in proportion to strength, then second from the rest, and so on."]],"notes":["Crashes and retirements count as finishing behind every classified rider, whatever the cause.","Injured riders' replacements start from the average; the model doesn't know who is riding hurt.","Before the entry list is out, the next race's field is the last race's."],"sources":[["MotoGP results","https://www.motogp.com/en/gp-results","Every MotoGP Grand Prix and sprint classification since 2012, the teams and the calendar, from Dorna's results API"],["MotoGP timing","https://www.motogp.com/","The running order during a race, from the free timing feed behind motogp.com"],["Meteostat and Open-Meteo","https://meteostat.net/","Weather at the circuit"]],"downloads":[{"file":"/data/motogp/csv/next_event.csv","label":"Grand Prix of Portugal sprint: our odds for every entrant","rows":16},{"file":"/data/motogp/csv/title_odds.csv","label":"Championship simulation (drivers)","rows":28},{"file":"/data/motogp/csv/team_title_odds.csv","label":"Championship simulation (teams)","rows":10},{"file":"/data/motogp/csv/ratings.csv","label":"Current ratings","rows":74},{"file":"/data/motogp/csv/results.csv","label":"Results, 2024, 2025, 2026","rows":2683},{"file":"/data/motogp/csv/track_record.csv","label":"Pre-event forecast for every holdout event","rows":123}]}