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Stadium","p":[0.5702,0.0,0.4298],"elo":[1482,1421],"market":{"p_home":0.5635,"p_away":0.4365,"provider":"closing 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quarterbacks: WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable). Net 45 rating points to WAS.","wx":{"temp":9.5,"rain":0.5,"wind":17.2,"gust":47.1,"src":"forecast","b":0.496},"pre":[["2026-10-22T12:01Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-23T00:01Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-23T12:01Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-24T00:01Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-24T12:02Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-25T00:01Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.4656,0.0,0.5344],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.5895,0.0,0.4105],["2026-10-25T23:31Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.6087,0.0,0.3913],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.5323,0.0,0.4677],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.5323,0.0,0.4677],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.5323,0.0,0.4677],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.5323,0.0,0.4677],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.5323,0.0,0.4677],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.5323,0.0,0.4677],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5001,0.0,0.4999],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.5178,0.0,0.4822],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.5467,0.0,0.4533],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5665,0.0,0.4335],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5665,0.0,0.4335],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5703,0.0,0.4297],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5703,0.0,0.4297],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5703,0.0,0.4297],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5702,0.0,0.4298],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5702,0.0,0.4298]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.352,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873053","date":"2026-11-15","home":"DET","away":"NE","time":"2026-11-15T09:30:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"FC Bayern Munich Stadium","p":[0.4579,0.0,0.5421],"elo":[1581,1555],"market":{"p_home":0.5721,"p_away":0.4279,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-2.5,"total":51.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.585,"a":0.415,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-ne-det-2026-11-15","vol":31860},"ks":{"h":0.5808,"a":0.4192,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.59,"a":0.41,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.5853,"d":0.0,"a":0.4147,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T15:47:45.896Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.5882,0.0,0.4118]],"h":0.59,"d":0.0,"a":0.41,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T16:00:18Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.585,0.0,0.415]],"h":0.585,"d":0.0,"a":0.415},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.58,0.0,0.42]],"h":0.58,"d":0.0,"a":0.42}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable). Net 56 rating points to NE.","pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.4496,0.0,0.5504],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.4496,0.0,0.5504],["2026-10-25T23:50Z",0.4647,0.0,0.5353],["2026-10-26T03:21Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.458,0.0,0.542],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.482,0.0,0.518],["2026-11-02T00:40Z",0.4692,0.0,0.5308],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.4782,0.0,0.5218],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.4711,0.0,0.5289],["2026-11-09T00:56Z",0.5206,0.0,0.4794],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4579,0.0,0.5421]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.406,"sigma":13.289},"neutral":true},{"id":"401873054","date":"2026-11-15","home":"NYJ","away":"BUF","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.152,0.0,0.848],"elo":[1341,1677],"market":{"p_home":0.2232,"p_away":0.7768,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":8.5,"total":50.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.205,"a":0.795,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-buf-nyj-2026-11-15","vol":40810},"ks":{"h":0.195,"a":0.805,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.2145,"a":0.7855,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.2048,"d":0.0,"a":0.7952,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:02:12.183Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.2224,0.0,0.7776]],"h":0.2145,"d":0.0,"a":0.7855,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:17Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.195,0.0,0.805]],"h":0.195,"d":0.0,"a":0.805},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.19,0.0,0.81]],"h":0.2,"d":0.0,"a":0.8}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to NYJ.","wx":{"temp":9.3,"rain":0.0,"wind":18.1,"gust":22.4,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.2139,0.0,0.7861],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.2139,0.0,0.7861],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.2008,0.0,0.7992],["2026-10-25T23:31Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.2069,0.0,0.7931],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.1922,0.0,0.8078],["2026-11-01T21:41Z",0.1778,0.0,0.8222],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.1829,0.0,0.8171],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.1739,0.0,0.8261],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.1686,0.0,0.8314],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.1686,0.0,0.8314],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.1686,0.0,0.8314],["2026-11-10T04:36Z",0.1489,0.0,0.8511],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.152,0.0,0.848],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.152,0.0,0.848],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.152,0.0,0.848],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.152,0.0,0.848]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-13.66,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873055","date":"2026-11-15","home":"NO","away":"CAR","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Caesars Superdome","p":[0.5448,0.0,0.4552],"elo":[1421,1428],"market":{"p_home":0.5514,"p_away":0.4486,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-2.5,"total":48.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.555,"a":0.445,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-car-no-2026-11-15","vol":3764},"ks":{"h":0.555,"a":0.445,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.5604,"a":0.4396,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.5568,"d":0.0,"a":0.4432,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:40:32.371Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.551,0.0,0.449]],"h":0.5604,"d":0.0,"a":0.4396,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:17Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.555,0.0,0.445]],"h":0.555,"d":0.0,"a":0.445},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.55,0.0,0.45]],"h":0.55,"d":0.0,"a":0.45}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to NO.","pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.4434,0.0,0.5566],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.4272,0.0,0.5728],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.4831,0.0,0.5169],["2026-10-25T23:31Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.5101,0.0,0.4899],["2026-10-30T04:31Z",0.5293,0.0,0.4707],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.5455,0.0,0.4545],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.5542,0.0,0.4458],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5448,0.0,0.4552]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.497,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873056","date":"2026-11-15","home":"CLE","away":"HOU","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Huntington Bank Field","p":[0.3749,0.0,0.6251],"elo":[1441,1527],"market":{"p_home":0.331,"p_away":0.669,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":4.5,"total":41.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.325,"a":0.675,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-hou-cle-2026-11-15","vol":5694},"ks":{"h":0.3317,"a":0.6683,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.3277,"a":0.6723,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.3281,"d":0.0,"a":0.6719,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:04:17.663Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.3281,0.0,0.6719]],"h":0.3277,"d":0.0,"a":0.6723,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:17Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.325,0.0,0.675]],"h":0.325,"d":0.0,"a":0.675},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.34,0.0,0.66]],"h":0.34,"d":0.0,"a":0.66}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual; CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson). Net 35 rating points to HOU.","wx":{"temp":7.2,"rain":0.13,"wind":17.1,"gust":18.1,"src":"forecast","b":0.087},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.4069,0.0,0.5931],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.4069,0.0,0.5931],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.4554,0.0,0.5446],["2026-10-25T23:31Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.4778,0.0,0.5222],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.4526,0.0,0.5474],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.4422,0.0,0.5578],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.4422,0.0,0.5578],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.4422,0.0,0.5578],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.4422,0.0,0.5578],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.4422,0.0,0.5578],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.4422,0.0,0.5578],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.3934,0.0,0.6066],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.4048,0.0,0.5952],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.4112,0.0,0.5888],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.3806,0.0,0.6194],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.3749,0.0,0.6251],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.3749,0.0,0.6251],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.3749,0.0,0.6251],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.3749,0.0,0.6251],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.3889,0.0,0.6111],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.3889,0.0,0.6111],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.3749,0.0,0.6251]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-4.237,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873057","date":"2026-11-15","home":"TEN","away":"JAX","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Nissan Stadium","p":[0.1699,0.0,0.8301],"elo":[1314,1618],"market":{"p_home":0.1881,"p_away":0.8119,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":10.5,"total":46.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.165,"a":0.835,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-jax-ten-2026-11-15","vol":52145},"ks":{"h":0.165,"a":0.835,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.1831,"a":0.8169,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.171,"d":0.0,"a":0.829,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T21:58:29.788Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.1845,0.0,0.8155]],"h":0.1831,"d":0.0,"a":0.8169,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:19Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.165,0.0,0.835]],"h":0.165,"d":0.0,"a":0.835},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.16,0.0,0.84]],"h":0.16,"d":0.0,"a":0.84}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual; TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to JAX.","wx":{"temp":10.6,"rain":0.0,"wind":8.7,"gust":10.9,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.1983,0.0,0.8017],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.1983,0.0,0.8017],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.1905,0.0,0.8095],["2026-10-26T03:21Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.1951,0.0,0.8049],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.1823,0.0,0.8177],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.177,0.0,0.823],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.186,0.0,0.814],["2026-11-06T04:36Z",0.1672,0.0,0.8328],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.1699,0.0,0.8301]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-12.687,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873058","date":"2026-11-15","home":"ATL","away":"KC","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","p":[0.4397,0.0,0.5603],"elo":[1439,1564],"market":{"p_home":0.3775,"p_away":0.6225,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":3.0,"total":46.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.365,"a":0.635,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-atl-2026-11-15","vol":29324},"ks":{"h":0.365,"a":0.635,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.3782,"a":0.6218,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.3694,"d":0.0,"a":0.6306,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:00:38.270Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.3796,0.0,0.6204]],"h":0.3782,"d":0.0,"a":0.6218,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:18Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.365,0.0,0.635]],"h":0.365,"d":0.0,"a":0.635},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.37,0.0,0.63]],"h":0.38,"d":0.0,"a":0.62}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable); ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 50 rating points to ATL.","wx":{"temp":12.1,"rain":0.0,"wind":7.6,"gust":9.0,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.372,0.0,0.628],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.372,0.0,0.628],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.4147,0.0,0.5853],["2026-10-26T03:21Z",0.4186,0.0,0.5814],["2026-10-26T04:40Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.4482,0.0,0.5518],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.4164,0.0,0.5836],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.4062,0.0,0.5938],["2026-11-08T17:41Z",0.381,0.0,0.619],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.3666,0.0,0.6334],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4397,0.0,0.5603]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-2.017,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873059","date":"2026-11-15","home":"IND","away":"MIA","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Lucas Oil Stadium","p":[0.5904,0.0,0.4096],"elo":[1401,1377],"market":{"p_home":0.6447,"p_away":0.3553,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-3.5,"total":38.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.655,"a":0.345,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-mia-ind-2026-11-15","vol":18527},"ks":{"h":0.655,"a":0.345,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.6393,"a":0.3607,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.6498,"d":0.0,"a":0.3502,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:31:16.478Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616]],"h":0.6393,"d":0.0,"a":0.3607,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:19Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.655,0.0,0.345]],"h":0.655,"d":0.0,"a":0.345},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.65,0.0,0.35]],"h":0.65,"d":0.0,"a":0.35}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis); IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 6 rating points to IND.","wx":{"temp":8.3,"rain":0.0,"wind":6.0,"gust":7.6,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.6212,0.0,0.3788],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.612,0.0,0.388],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.5931,0.0,0.4069],["2026-10-25T23:31Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.5587,0.0,0.4413],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.538,0.0,0.462],["2026-11-02T00:40Z",0.5507,0.0,0.4493],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5369,0.0,0.4631],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5542,0.0,0.4458],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.5331,0.0,0.4669],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5479,0.0,0.4521],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5479,0.0,0.4521],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5693,0.0,0.4307],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5693,0.0,0.4307],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5904,0.0,0.4096],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5904,0.0,0.4096],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5904,0.0,0.4096]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.039,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873060","date":"2026-11-15","home":"GB","away":"MIN","time":"2026-11-15T13:00:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Lambeau Field","p":[0.4809,0.0,0.5191],"elo":[1567,1593],"market":{"p_home":0.5934,"p_away":0.4066,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-3.0,"total":42.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.605,"a":0.395,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-min-gb-2026-11-15","vol":43569},"ks":{"h":0.605,"a":0.395,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.603,"a":0.397,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.6043,"d":0.0,"a":0.3957,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:06:03.635Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.6164,0.0,0.3836]],"h":0.603,"d":0.0,"a":0.397,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:01:18Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.625,0.0,0.375]],"h":0.625,"d":0.0,"a":0.375},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T19:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.62,0.0,0.38]],"h":0.61,"d":0.0,"a":0.39}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual; GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 20 rating points to MIN.","wx":{"temp":5.6,"rain":0.0,"wind":11.2,"gust":11.2,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.4105,0.0,0.5895],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.4012,0.0,0.5988],["2026-10-25T23:50Z",0.3842,0.0,0.6158],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.3849,0.0,0.6151],["2026-10-30T04:31Z",0.4032,0.0,0.5968],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.406,0.0,0.594],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.406,0.0,0.594],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.406,0.0,0.594],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.406,0.0,0.594],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.406,0.0,0.594],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.406,0.0,0.594],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.4295,0.0,0.5705],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.4498,0.0,0.5502],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.4712,0.0,0.5288],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.4712,0.0,0.5288],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.4712,0.0,0.5288],["2026-11-09T00:56Z",0.5206,0.0,0.4794],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.5335,0.0,0.4665],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5335,0.0,0.4665],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5335,0.0,0.4665],["2026-11-10T04:36Z",0.57,0.0,0.43],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.568,0.0,0.432],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4809,0.0,0.5191],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4809,0.0,0.5191],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4809,0.0,0.5191]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-0.636,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873061","date":"2026-11-15","home":"ARI","away":"LA","time":"2026-11-15T16:05:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"State Farm Stadium","p":[0.2447,0.0,0.7553],"elo":[1387,1590],"market":{"p_home":0.2181,"p_away":0.7819,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":9.5,"total":39.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.205,"a":0.795,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-la-ari-2026-11-15","vol":5871},"ks":{"h":0.205,"a":0.795,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.2131,"a":0.7869,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.2077,"d":0.0,"a":0.7923,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-10T22:51:42.217Z","days":[],"h":0.2131,"d":0.0,"a":0.7869,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:01:17Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.205,0.0,0.795]],"h":0.205,"d":0.0,"a":0.795},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.21,0.0,0.79]],"h":0.21,"d":0.0,"a":0.79}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 25 rating points to LA.","pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.328,0.0,0.672],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.328,0.0,0.672],["2026-10-25T23:50Z",0.2925,0.0,0.7075],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.2888,0.0,0.7112],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.2949,0.0,0.7051],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.2941,0.0,0.7059],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.2564,0.0,0.7436],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.2432,0.0,0.7568],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.2345,0.0,0.7655],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.2339,0.0,0.7661],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.2419,0.0,0.7581],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.2419,0.0,0.7581],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.2447,0.0,0.7553],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.2447,0.0,0.7553],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.2447,0.0,0.7553]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-9.188,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873062","date":"2026-11-15","home":"LV","away":"SEA","time":"2026-11-15T16:05:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Allegiant Stadium","p":[0.2594,0.0,0.7406],"elo":[1406,1630],"market":{"p_home":0.2864,"p_away":0.7136,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":6.5,"total":40.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.275,"a":0.725,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sea-lv-2026-11-15","vol":28960},"ks":{"h":0.275,"a":0.725,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.2876,"a":0.7124,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.2792,"d":0.0,"a":0.7208,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-10T22:32:44.897Z","days":[],"h":0.2876,"d":0.0,"a":0.7124,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:01:20Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.275,0.0,0.725]],"h":0.275,"d":0.0,"a":0.725},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.28,0.0,0.72]],"h":0.28,"d":0.0,"a":0.72}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold); LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 9 rating points to LV.","pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.2416,0.0,0.7584],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.2416,0.0,0.7584],["2026-10-25T23:50Z",0.2241,0.0,0.7759],["2026-10-26T03:21Z",0.2134,0.0,0.7866],["2026-10-26T04:40Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.1971,0.0,0.8029],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.2121,0.0,0.7879],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.2213,0.0,0.7787],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.2213,0.0,0.7787],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.2213,0.0,0.7787],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.2692,0.0,0.7308],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.2692,0.0,0.7308],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.2692,0.0,0.7308],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.344,0.0,0.656],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.344,0.0,0.656],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.344,0.0,0.656],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.344,0.0,0.656],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.3236,0.0,0.6764],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.3236,0.0,0.6764],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.3236,0.0,0.6764],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.3236,0.0,0.6764],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.3236,0.0,0.6764],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.3396,0.0,0.6604],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.332,0.0,0.668],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.332,0.0,0.668],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.332,0.0,0.668],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.332,0.0,0.668],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.2594,0.0,0.7406],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.2594,0.0,0.7406],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.2594,0.0,0.7406]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-8.573,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873063","date":"2026-11-15","home":"DAL","away":"SF","time":"2026-11-15T16:25:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"AT&T Stadium","p":[0.3196,0.0,0.6804],"elo":[1454,1610],"market":{"p_home":0.3553,"p_away":0.6447,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":4.5,"total":55.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.345,"a":0.655,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-sf-dal-2026-11-15","vol":20326},"ks":{"h":0.345,"a":0.655,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.3497,"a":0.6503,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.3466,"d":0.0,"a":0.6534,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-10T22:44:28.082Z","days":[],"h":0.3497,"d":0.0,"a":0.6503,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:01:20Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.345,0.0,0.655]],"h":0.345,"d":0.0,"a":0.655},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T22:00:00Z","days":[["2026-11-11T12:00:00Z",0.34,0.0,0.66]],"h":0.34,"d":0.0,"a":0.66}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual; DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual. Net 8 rating points to SF.","pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.2499,0.0,0.7501],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.2499,0.0,0.7501],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.2849,0.0,0.7151],["2026-10-26T03:21Z",0.288,0.0,0.712],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.288,0.0,0.712],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.288,0.0,0.712],["2026-10-27T03:25Z",0.3308,0.0,0.6692],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.3368,0.0,0.6632],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.3151,0.0,0.6849],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.3164,0.0,0.6836],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.3351,0.0,0.6649],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.3226,0.0,0.6774],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.3196,0.0,0.6804],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.3196,0.0,0.6804],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.3196,0.0,0.6804],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.3196,0.0,0.6804],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.3196,0.0,0.6804],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.3196,0.0,0.6804]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-6.23,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873064","date":"2026-11-15","home":"CIN","away":"PIT","time":"2026-11-15T20:20:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"Paycor Stadium","p":[0.592,0.0,0.408],"elo":[1564,1569],"market":{"p_home":0.6164,"p_away":0.3836,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-3.5,"total":49.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.635,"a":0.365,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-pit-cin-2026-11-16","vol":4718},"ks":{"h":0.635,"a":0.365,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"bk":{"h":0.6255,"a":0.3745,"books":3},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.6318,"d":0.0,"a":0.3682,"n":3}},"mh":{"bk":{"t":"2026-11-11T04:21:53.218Z","days":[],"h":0.6255,"d":0.0,"a":0.3745,"n":3},"pm":{"t":"2026-11-11T04:01:34Z","days":[],"h":0.635,"d":0.0,"a":0.365},"ks":{"t":"2026-11-11T04:00:00Z","days":[],"h":0.64,"d":0.0,"a":0.36}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual; CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 37 rating points to CIN.","wx":{"temp":4.0,"rain":0.0,"wind":5.4,"gust":11.9,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-25T12:01Z",0.5359,0.0,0.4641],["2026-10-25T19:56Z",0.5195,0.0,0.4805],["2026-10-25T20:36Z",0.57,0.0,0.43],["2026-10-25T23:31Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.5773,0.0,0.4227],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.5524,0.0,0.4476],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.5613,0.0,0.4387],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5669,0.0,0.4331],["2026-11-08T17:41Z",0.5926,0.0,0.4074],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.592,0.0,0.408]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.093,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873065","date":"2026-11-16","home":"BAL","away":"LAC","time":"2026-11-16T20:15:00-04:00","week":10,"venue":"M&T Bank Stadium","p":[0.6415,0.0,0.3585],"elo":[1486,1390],"market":{"p_home":0.6636,"p_away":0.3364,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-4.5,"total":38.5},"mkts":{"pm":{"h":0.655,"a":0.345,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-lac-bal-2026-11-17","vol":5854},"ks":{"h":0.655,"a":0.345,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.655,"d":0.0,"a":0.345,"n":2}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable); BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley). Net 28 rating points to LAC.","wx":{"temp":8.0,"rain":0.0,"wind":6.1,"gust":17.5,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-10-26T04:40Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-26T12:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-27T00:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-27T12:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-28T00:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-28T12:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-29T00:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.6945,0.0,0.3055],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.7272,0.0,0.2728],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.7272,0.0,0.2728],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.7272,0.0,0.2728],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.7272,0.0,0.2728],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.6282,0.0,0.3718],["2026-11-01T21:41Z",0.6586,0.0,0.3414],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.6572,0.0,0.3428],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.6572,0.0,0.3428],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.6572,0.0,0.3428],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.6572,0.0,0.3428],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.6403,0.0,0.3597],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.6403,0.0,0.3597],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.623,0.0,0.377],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.623,0.0,0.377],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.623,0.0,0.377],["2026-11-06T04:36Z",0.5922,0.0,0.4078],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.6093,0.0,0.3907],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.6093,0.0,0.3907],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.6093,0.0,0.3907],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.6093,0.0,0.3907],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.6093,0.0,0.3907],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.6093,0.0,0.3907],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.6392,0.0,0.3608],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.6415,0.0,0.3585],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.6415,0.0,0.3585],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.6415,0.0,0.3585],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.6415,0.0,0.3585],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.6415,0.0,0.3585],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.6415,0.0,0.3585]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.815,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873066","date":"2026-11-19","home":"HOU","away":"IND","time":"2026-11-19T20:15:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Reliant Stadium","p":[0.7623,0.0,0.2377],"elo":[1527,1401],"market":{"p_home":0.7867,"p_away":0.2133,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-10.0,"total":44.5},"mkts":{"ks":{"h":0.815,"a":0.185,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnflgame"},"at":"2026-11-12T00:01+00:00","avg":{"h":0.815,"d":0.0,"a":0.185,"n":1}},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual; HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 43 rating points to HOU.","pre":[["2026-10-29T12:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-10-30T00:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-10-30T12:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-10-31T00:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-10-31T12:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-11-01T00:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.6896,0.0,0.3104],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.7072,0.0,0.2928],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.7152,0.0,0.2848],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.7322,0.0,0.2678],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.7578,0.0,0.2422],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":9.483,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873067","date":"2026-11-22","home":"KC","away":"ARI","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium","p":[0.7516,0.0,0.2484],"elo":[1564,1387],"market":{"p_home":0.8721,"p_away":0.1279,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-14.0,"total":42.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew); KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable). Net 17 rating points to ARI.","wx":{"temp":2.2,"rain":0.0,"wind":23.8,"gust":42.1,"src":"forecast","b":0.013},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.779,0.0,0.221],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.779,0.0,0.221],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.7615,0.0,0.2385],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.7597,0.0,0.2403],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.7926,0.0,0.2074],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.8025,0.0,0.1975],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.7536,0.0,0.2464],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.7619,0.0,0.2381],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.7625,0.0,0.2375],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.7544,0.0,0.2456],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.7544,0.0,0.2456],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.7516,0.0,0.2484],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.7516,0.0,0.2484],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.7516,0.0,0.2484]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":9.032,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873068","date":"2026-11-22","home":"CAR","away":"BAL","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Bank of America Stadium","p":[0.5391,0.0,0.4609],"elo":[1428,1486],"market":{"p_home":0.5261,"p_away":0.4739,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-1.5,"total":44.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley); CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 53 rating points to CAR.","wx":{"temp":16.0,"rain":0.0,"wind":6.5,"gust":11.2,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.3894,0.0,0.6106],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.5015,0.0,0.4985],["2026-11-01T21:41Z",0.4683,0.0,0.5317],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.4881,0.0,0.5119],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.4935,0.0,0.5065],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.4935,0.0,0.5065],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.4935,0.0,0.5065],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.4935,0.0,0.5065],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.512,0.0,0.488],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.512,0.0,0.488],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5305,0.0,0.4695],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5305,0.0,0.4695],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5305,0.0,0.4695],["2026-11-06T04:36Z",0.5625,0.0,0.4375],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.545,0.0,0.455],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.545,0.0,0.455],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.545,0.0,0.455],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.545,0.0,0.455],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.545,0.0,0.455],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.545,0.0,0.455],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.5326,0.0,0.4674],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5391,0.0,0.4609]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.305,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873069","date":"2026-11-22","home":"NYG","away":"JAX","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.2883,0.0,0.7117],"elo":[1482,1618],"market":{"p_home":0.3042,"p_away":0.6958,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":6.0,"total":44.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual; NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable). Net 54 rating points to JAX.","wx":{"temp":14.8,"rain":0.0,"wind":14.4,"gust":25.5,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.2887,0.0,0.7113],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.2887,0.0,0.7113],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.2735,0.0,0.7265],["2026-11-06T04:36Z",0.2486,0.0,0.7514],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.2522,0.0,0.7478],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.2522,0.0,0.7478],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.2522,0.0,0.7478],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.2522,0.0,0.7478],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.2522,0.0,0.7478],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.2522,0.0,0.7478],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.2747,0.0,0.7253],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.2851,0.0,0.7149],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.2851,0.0,0.7149],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.2883,0.0,0.7117],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.2883,0.0,0.7117],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.2883,0.0,0.7117],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.2883,0.0,0.7117],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.2883,0.0,0.7117]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-7.42,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873070","date":"2026-11-22","home":"BUF","away":"MIA","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Highmark Stadium","p":[0.8944,0.0,0.1056],"elo":[1677,1377],"market":{"p_home":0.9124,"p_away":0.0876,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-16.5,"total":46.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis); BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 38 rating points to BUF.","wx":{"temp":14.5,"rain":0.0,"wind":26.0,"gust":57.2,"src":"forecast","b":0.466},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.8284,0.0,0.1716],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.8284,0.0,0.1716],["2026-11-01T21:41Z",0.8415,0.0,0.1585],["2026-11-02T00:40Z",0.8482,0.0,0.1518],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.8459,0.0,0.1541],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.8548,0.0,0.1452],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.8628,0.0,0.1372],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.8628,0.0,0.1372],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.8728,0.0,0.1272],["2026-11-10T04:36Z",0.8883,0.0,0.1117],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.8859,0.0,0.1141],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.8944,0.0,0.1056],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.8944,0.0,0.1056],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.8944,0.0,0.1056]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":16.612,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873071","date":"2026-11-22","home":"CHI","away":"NO","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Soldier Field","p":[0.8077,0.0,0.1923],"elo":[1618,1421],"market":{"p_home":0.7914,"p_away":0.2086,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-9.5,"total":48.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual; CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 19 rating points to CHI.","wx":{"temp":5.9,"rain":0.1,"wind":22.6,"gust":29.4,"src":"forecast","b":0.067},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.7811,0.0,0.2189],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.7811,0.0,0.2189],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.7811,0.0,0.2189],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.7811,0.0,0.2189],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.7811,0.0,0.2189],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.8127,0.0,0.1873],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.8073,0.0,0.1927],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.8091,0.0,0.1909],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.8077,0.0,0.1923],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.8077,0.0,0.1923],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.8077,0.0,0.1923],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.8077,0.0,0.1923],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.8077,0.0,0.1923],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.8077,0.0,0.1923]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":11.552,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873072","date":"2026-11-22","home":"DET","away":"TB","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Ford Field","p":[0.5997,0.0,0.4003],"elo":[1581,1496],"market":{"p_home":0.6225,"p_away":0.3775,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-3.5,"total":47.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual; DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable). Net 48 rating points to TB.","pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.6478,0.0,0.3522],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.6178,0.0,0.3822],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.6403,0.0,0.3597],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.6384,0.0,0.3616],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.6543,0.0,0.3457],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.6479,0.0,0.3521],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.666,0.0,0.334],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.666,0.0,0.334],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.666,0.0,0.334],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.666,0.0,0.334],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.666,0.0,0.334],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5997,0.0,0.4003]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.355,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873073","date":"2026-11-22","home":"DAL","away":"TEN","time":"2026-11-22T13:00:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"AT&T Stadium","p":[0.7234,0.0,0.2766],"elo":[1454,1314],"market":{"p_home":0.7819,"p_away":0.2181,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-7.5,"total":51.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual; DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual. Net 6 rating points to TEN.","pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.7263,0.0,0.2737],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.7263,0.0,0.2737],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.7135,0.0,0.2865],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.7042,0.0,0.2958],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.7216,0.0,0.2784],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.7234,0.0,0.2766]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":7.879,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873074","date":"2026-11-22","home":"LAC","away":"NYJ","time":"2026-11-22T16:05:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.5653,0.0,0.4347],"elo":[1390,1341],"market":{"p_home":0.5325,"p_away":0.4675,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-1.5,"total":42.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual; LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable). Net 36 rating points to NYJ.","pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.5832,0.0,0.4168],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.5832,0.0,0.4168],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.6054,0.0,0.3946],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.5887,0.0,0.4113],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5747,0.0,0.4253],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.5897,0.0,0.4103],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5987,0.0,0.4013],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.5677,0.0,0.4323],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5653,0.0,0.4347],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5653,0.0,0.4347],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5653,0.0,0.4347],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5653,0.0,0.4347],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5653,0.0,0.4347],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5653,0.0,0.4347]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.185,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873075","date":"2026-11-22","home":"DEN","away":"LV","time":"2026-11-22T16:25:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Empower Field at Mile High","p":[0.851,0.0,0.149],"elo":[1634,1406],"market":{"p_home":0.7819,"p_away":0.2181,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-8.5,"total":41.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual; DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 42 rating points to DEN.","wx":{"temp":-3.0,"rain":0.0,"wind":4.4,"gust":4.7,"src":"forecast","b":0.2},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.7879,0.0,0.2121],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.7879,0.0,0.2121],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.7721,0.0,0.2279],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.777,0.0,0.223],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.7855,0.0,0.2145],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.7973,0.0,0.2027],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.801,0.0,0.199],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.801,0.0,0.199],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.801,0.0,0.199],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.851,0.0,0.149],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.851,0.0,0.149],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.851,0.0,0.149]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":13.832,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873076","date":"2026-11-22","home":"PHI","away":"PIT","time":"2026-11-22T16:25:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","p":[0.2718,0.0,0.7282],"elo":[1416,1569],"market":{"p_home":0.3631,"p_away":0.6369,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":4.5,"total":38.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual; PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 51 rating points to PIT.","wx":{"temp":14.9,"rain":0.0,"wind":13.2,"gust":36.6,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.3499,0.0,0.6501],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.3499,0.0,0.6501],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.3273,0.0,0.6727],["2026-11-02T04:30Z",0.3273,0.0,0.6727],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.2835,0.0,0.7165],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.2835,0.0,0.7165],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.2835,0.0,0.7165],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.2835,0.0,0.7165],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.2835,0.0,0.7165],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.3121,0.0,0.6879],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.2605,0.0,0.7395],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.2718,0.0,0.7282]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-8.07,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873077","date":"2026-11-22","home":"SF","away":"MIN","time":"2026-11-22T20:20:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Estadio Banorte","p":[0.4892,0.0,0.5108],"elo":[1610,1593],"market":{"p_home":0.6447,"p_away":0.3553,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":-3.5,"total":46.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual; SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual. Net 25 rating points to MIN.","wx":{"temp":17.6,"rain":0.0,"wind":0.7,"gust":24.3,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-11-01T12:01Z",0.4559,0.0,0.5441],["2026-11-01T21:01Z",0.4559,0.0,0.5441],["2026-11-01T21:21Z",0.4799,0.0,0.5201],["2026-11-02T00:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5005,0.0,0.4995],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.522,0.0,0.478],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.522,0.0,0.478],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.522,0.0,0.478],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.5383,0.0,0.4617],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5417,0.0,0.4583],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5417,0.0,0.4583],["2026-11-10T04:36Z",0.5781,0.0,0.4219],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5761,0.0,0.4239],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4892,0.0,0.5108],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4892,0.0,0.5108],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4892,0.0,0.5108]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-0.358,"sigma":13.289},"neutral":true},{"id":"401873078","date":"2026-11-23","home":"WAS","away":"CIN","time":"2026-11-23T20:15:00-04:00","week":11,"venue":"Northwest Stadium","p":[0.3129,0.0,0.6871],"elo":[1421,1564],"market":{"p_home":0.3553,"p_away":0.6447,"provider":"closing moneyline","spread":3.5,"total":51.5},"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual; WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 26 rating points to CIN.","wx":{"temp":11.4,"rain":0.0,"wind":2.1,"gust":11.6,"src":"forecast"},"pre":[["2026-11-02T12:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-03T00:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-03T12:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-04T00:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.3579,0.0,0.6421],["2026-11-08T17:41Z",0.3341,0.0,0.6659],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.3185,0.0,0.6815],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.3129,0.0,0.6871]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-6.48,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873079","date":"2026-11-25","home":"LA","away":"GB","time":"2026-11-25T20:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.5498,0.0,0.4502],"elo":[1590,1567],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual; LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 21 rating points to GB.","pre":[["2026-11-04T12:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-05T00:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5929,0.0,0.4071],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.6098,0.0,0.3902],["2026-11-09T00:56Z",0.5626,0.0,0.4374],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5498,0.0,0.4502]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.664,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873081","date":"2026-11-26","home":"DET","away":"CHI","time":"2026-11-26T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Ford Field","p":[0.391,0.0,0.609],"elo":[1581,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual; DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable). Net 73 rating points to CHI.","pre":[["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.4483,0.0,0.5517],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.4655,0.0,0.5345],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.4585,0.0,0.5415],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4608,0.0,0.5392],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.391,0.0,0.609]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-3.679,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873080","date":"2026-11-26","home":"DAL","away":"PHI","time":"2026-11-26T16:30:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"AT&T Stadium","p":[0.6797,0.0,0.3203],"elo":[1454,1416],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual; DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual. Net 60 rating points to DAL.","pre":[["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.6138,0.0,0.3862],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.6903,0.0,0.3097],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.6797,0.0,0.3203]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":6.204,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873082","date":"2026-11-26","home":"BUF","away":"KC","time":"2026-11-26T20:20:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Highmark Stadium","p":[0.7606,0.0,0.2394],"elo":[1677,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable); BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 55 rating points to BUF.","pre":[["2026-11-05T12:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-06T00:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.6922,0.0,0.3078],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.6789,0.0,0.3211],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.7375,0.0,0.2625],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.7375,0.0,0.2625],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.7375,0.0,0.2625],["2026-11-10T04:36Z",0.7651,0.0,0.2349],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.7606,0.0,0.2394],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.7606,0.0,0.2394],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.7606,0.0,0.2394],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.7606,0.0,0.2394]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":9.413,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873083","date":"2026-11-27","home":"PIT","away":"DEN","time":"2026-11-27T15:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Acrisure Stadium","p":[0.4486,0.0,0.5514],"elo":[1569,1634],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to DEN.","pre":[["2026-11-06T12:01Z",0.4625,0.0,0.5375],["2026-11-07T00:01Z",0.4625,0.0,0.5375],["2026-11-07T12:01Z",0.4625,0.0,0.5375],["2026-11-08T00:01Z",0.4625,0.0,0.5375],["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.4625,0.0,0.5375],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.4625,0.0,0.5375],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.4501,0.0,0.5499],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4486,0.0,0.5514]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.717,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873084","date":"2026-11-29","home":"MIN","away":"ATL","time":"2026-11-29T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"U.S. Bank Stadium","p":[0.7822,0.0,0.2178],"elo":[1593,1439],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual; MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 35 rating points to MIN.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.7277,0.0,0.2723],["2026-11-08T17:41Z",0.7481,0.0,0.2519],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.7442,0.0,0.2558],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.7442,0.0,0.2558],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.7442,0.0,0.2558],["2026-11-10T04:36Z",0.7151,0.0,0.2849],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.7168,0.0,0.2832],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.7822,0.0,0.2178],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.7822,0.0,0.2178],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.7822,0.0,0.2178]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":10.361,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873085","date":"2026-11-29","home":"HOU","away":"BAL","time":"2026-11-29T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Reliant Stadium","p":[0.6983,0.0,0.3017],"elo":[1527,1486],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley); HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 72 rating points to HOU.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.6653,0.0,0.3347],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.6653,0.0,0.3347],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.6931,0.0,0.3069],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.6983,0.0,0.3017]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":6.904,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873086","date":"2026-11-29","home":"CLE","away":"LV","time":"2026-11-29T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Huntington Bank Field","p":[0.6308,0.0,0.3692],"elo":[1441,1406],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual; CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson). Net 25 rating points to CLE.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5057,0.0,0.4943],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5057,0.0,0.4943],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.5176,0.0,0.4824],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5243,0.0,0.4757],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.5406,0.0,0.4594],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.5463,0.0,0.4537],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5463,0.0,0.4537],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5463,0.0,0.4537],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5463,0.0,0.4537],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.6445,0.0,0.3555],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.6445,0.0,0.3555],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.6308,0.0,0.3692]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.439,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873087","date":"2026-11-29","home":"CIN","away":"NO","time":"2026-11-29T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Paycor Stadium","p":[0.7639,0.0,0.2361],"elo":[1564,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual; CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 28 rating points to CIN.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.7493,0.0,0.2507],["2026-11-08T17:41Z",0.7686,0.0,0.2314],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.7623,0.0,0.2377],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.7639,0.0,0.2361]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":9.555,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873088","date":"2026-11-29","home":"IND","away":"NYG","time":"2026-11-29T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Lucas Oil Stadium","p":[0.4518,0.0,0.5482],"elo":[1401,1482],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable); IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 15 rating points to IND.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5205,0.0,0.4795],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5205,0.0,0.4795],["2026-11-08T21:41Z",0.4703,0.0,0.5297],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.4557,0.0,0.5443],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.4557,0.0,0.5443],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.4518,0.0,0.5482],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.4518,0.0,0.5482],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4518,0.0,0.5482],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4518,0.0,0.5482],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4518,0.0,0.5482]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.609,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873089","date":"2026-11-29","home":"MIA","away":"NYJ","time":"2026-11-29T13:00:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","p":[0.5381,0.0,0.4619],"elo":[1377,1341],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual; MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis). Net 42 rating points to NYJ.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5899,0.0,0.4101],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.573,0.0,0.427],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.5879,0.0,0.4121],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.5809,0.0,0.4191],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.5809,0.0,0.4191],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.5596,0.0,0.4404],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.5596,0.0,0.4404],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.5381,0.0,0.4619],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.5381,0.0,0.4619],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.5381,0.0,0.4619]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.272,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873090","date":"2026-11-29","home":"JAX","away":"TEN","time":"2026-11-29T16:05:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"EverBank Stadium","p":[0.8772,0.0,0.1228],"elo":[1618,1314],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual; JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to JAX.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.8772,0.0,0.1228]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":15.432,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873091","date":"2026-11-29","home":"SF","away":"SEA","time":"2026-11-29T16:25:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Levi's Stadium","p":[0.6082,0.0,0.3918],"elo":[1610,1630],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold); SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual. Net 63 rating points to SF.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.5582,0.0,0.4418],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.5582,0.0,0.4418],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.6076,0.0,0.3924],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.6082,0.0,0.3918],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.6082,0.0,0.3918],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.6082,0.0,0.3918],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.6082,0.0,0.3918],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.6082,0.0,0.3918],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.6082,0.0,0.3918]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.651,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873092","date":"2026-11-29","home":"ARI","away":"WAS","time":"2026-11-29T16:25:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"State Farm Stadium","p":[0.4468,0.0,0.5532],"elo":[1387,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 36 rating points to WAS.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.4198,0.0,0.5802],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.4198,0.0,0.5802],["2026-11-08T21:21Z",0.4371,0.0,0.5629],["2026-11-09T00:01Z",0.4442,0.0,0.5558],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.433,0.0,0.567],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.4323,0.0,0.5677],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.4432,0.0,0.5568],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.4432,0.0,0.5568],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.4468,0.0,0.5532],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.4468,0.0,0.5532],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.4468,0.0,0.5532]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.779,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873093","date":"2026-11-29","home":"LAC","away":"NE","time":"2026-11-29T20:20:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.2811,0.0,0.7189],"elo":[1390,1555],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable). Net 31 rating points to NE.","pre":[["2026-11-08T12:12Z",0.2622,0.0,0.7378],["2026-11-08T21:01Z",0.2622,0.0,0.7378],["2026-11-09T00:36Z",0.2383,0.0,0.7617],["2026-11-09T00:56Z",0.2761,0.0,0.7239],["2026-11-09T04:36Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189],["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.2811,0.0,0.7189]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-7.702,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873094","date":"2026-11-30","home":"TB","away":"CAR","time":"2026-11-30T20:15:00-04:00","week":12,"venue":"Raymond James Stadium","p":[0.6405,0.0,0.3595],"elo":[1496,1428],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 1 rating points to CAR.","pre":[["2026-11-09T12:01Z",0.6405,0.0,0.3595],["2026-11-10T00:01Z",0.6405,0.0,0.3595],["2026-11-10T12:01Z",0.6405,0.0,0.3595],["2026-11-11T00:01Z",0.6405,0.0,0.3595],["2026-11-11T12:01Z",0.6405,0.0,0.3595],["2026-11-12T00:01Z",0.6405,0.0,0.3595]],"wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.78,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873096","date":"2026-12-03","home":"LA","away":"KC","time":"2026-12-03T20:15:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.6433,0.0,0.3567],"elo":[1590,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable); LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 43 rating points to LA.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.882,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873095","date":"2026-12-06","home":"NYG","away":"SF","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.3007,0.0,0.6993],"elo":[1482,1610],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual; NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable). Net 52 rating points to SF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-6.942,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873097","date":"2026-12-06","home":"CLE","away":"CIN","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Huntington Bank Field","p":[0.3094,0.0,0.6906],"elo":[1441,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual; CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson). Net 49 rating points to CIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-6.612,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873098","date":"2026-12-06","home":"ATL","away":"DET","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","p":[0.4176,0.0,0.5824],"elo":[1439,1581],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable); ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 52 rating points to ATL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-2.764,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873099","date":"2026-12-06","home":"NO","away":"GB","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Caesars Superdome","p":[0.3271,0.0,0.6729],"elo":[1421,1567],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual; NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 13 rating points to GB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-5.953,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873100","date":"2026-12-06","home":"CHI","away":"JAX","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Soldier Field","p":[0.5598,0.0,0.4402],"elo":[1618,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual; CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 9 rating points to CHI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.0,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873101","date":"2026-12-06","home":"TB","away":"LAC","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Raymond James Stadium","p":[0.7183,0.0,0.2817],"elo":[1496,1390],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable); TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 24 rating points to TB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":7.677,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873102","date":"2026-12-06","home":"TEN","away":"WAS","time":"2026-12-06T13:00:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Nissan Stadium","p":[0.4013,0.0,0.5987],"elo":[1314,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to TEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-3.322,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873103","date":"2026-12-06","home":"DEN","away":"MIA","time":"2026-12-06T16:05:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Empower Field at Mile High","p":[0.8637,0.0,0.1363],"elo":[1634,1377],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis); DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 31 rating points to DEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":14.581,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873104","date":"2026-12-06","home":"ARI","away":"PHI","time":"2026-12-06T16:05:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"State Farm Stadium","p":[0.5418,0.0,0.4582],"elo":[1387,1416],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 25 rating points to ARI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.393,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873105","date":"2026-12-06","home":"NE","away":"BUF","time":"2026-12-06T16:25:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Gillette Stadium","p":[0.3735,0.0,0.6265],"elo":[1555,1677],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-4.287,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873106","date":"2026-12-06","home":"MIN","away":"CAR","time":"2026-12-06T16:25:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"U.S. Bank Stadium","p":[0.7954,0.0,0.2046],"elo":[1593,1428],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 37 rating points to MIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":10.967,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873107","date":"2026-12-06","home":"PIT","away":"HOU","time":"2026-12-06T20:20:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Acrisure Stadium","p":[0.5743,0.0,0.4257],"elo":[1569,1527],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual; PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 23 rating points to HOU.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.489,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873108","date":"2026-12-07","home":"SEA","away":"DAL","time":"2026-12-07T20:15:00-04:00","week":13,"venue":"Lumen Field","p":[0.708,0.0,0.292],"elo":[1630,1454],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual; SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold). Net 55 rating points to DAL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":7.275,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873109","date":"2026-12-10","home":"NE","away":"MIN","time":"2026-12-10T20:15:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Gillette Stadium","p":[0.4484,0.0,0.5516],"elo":[1555,1593],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual; NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 30 rating points to MIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.724,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873110","date":"2026-12-13","home":"CLE","away":"ATL","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Huntington Bank Field","p":[0.5231,0.0,0.4769],"elo":[1441,1439],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual; CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson). Net 19 rating points to ATL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":0.769,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873111","date":"2026-12-13","home":"MIA","away":"CHI","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","p":[0.1805,0.0,0.8195],"elo":[1377,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual; MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis). Net 55 rating points to CHI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-12.141,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873112","date":"2026-12-13","home":"NYJ","away":"DEN","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.1932,0.0,0.8068],"elo":[1341,1634],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual. Net 11 rating points to NYJ.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-11.512,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873113","date":"2026-12-13","home":"WAS","away":"HOU","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Northwest Stadium","p":[0.3788,0.0,0.6212],"elo":[1421,1527],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual; WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 13 rating points to HOU.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-4.102,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873114","date":"2026-12-13","home":"PHI","away":"IND","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","p":[0.5248,0.0,0.4752],"elo":[1416,1401],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual; PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 30 rating points to IND.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":0.826,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873115","date":"2026-12-13","home":"CAR","away":"NO","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Bank of America Stadium","p":[0.5498,0.0,0.4502],"elo":[1428,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual; CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to NO.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.665,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873116","date":"2026-12-13","home":"BAL","away":"TB","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"M&T Bank Stadium","p":[0.4591,0.0,0.5409],"elo":[1486,1496],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual; BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley). Net 52 rating points to TB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.366,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873117","date":"2026-12-13","home":"DET","away":"TEN","time":"2026-12-13T13:00:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Ford Field","p":[0.7996,0.0,0.2004],"elo":[1581,1314],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual; DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable). Net 60 rating points to TEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":11.165,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873118","date":"2026-12-13","home":"LV","away":"LAC","time":"2026-12-13T16:05:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Allegiant Stadium","p":[0.5459,0.0,0.4541],"elo":[1406,1390],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable); LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 17 rating points to LAC.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.532,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873119","date":"2026-12-13","home":"CIN","away":"KC","time":"2026-12-13T16:25:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Paycor Stadium","p":[0.6576,0.0,0.3424],"elo":[1564,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable); CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 80 rating points to CIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":5.396,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873120","date":"2026-12-13","home":"SF","away":"LA","time":"2026-12-13T16:25:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Levi's Stadium","p":[0.5995,0.0,0.4005],"elo":[1610,1590],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual; SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual. Net 17 rating points to SF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.348,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873121","date":"2026-12-13","home":"SEA","away":"NYG","time":"2026-12-13T16:25:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Lumen Field","p":[0.7259,0.0,0.2741],"elo":[1630,1482],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable); SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold). Net 11 rating points to NYG.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":7.98,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873122","date":"2026-12-13","home":"GB","away":"BUF","time":"2026-12-13T20:20:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"Lambeau Field","p":[0.4046,0.0,0.5954],"elo":[1567,1677],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 10 rating points to GB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-3.209,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873123","date":"2026-12-14","home":"JAX","away":"PIT","time":"2026-12-14T20:15:00-04:00","week":14,"venue":"EverBank Stadium","p":[0.6416,0.0,0.3584],"elo":[1618,1569],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual; JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 19 rating points to JAX.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.821,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873124","date":"2026-12-17","home":"LAC","away":"SF","time":"2026-12-17T20:15:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.2153,0.0,0.7847],"elo":[1390,1610],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual; LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable). Net 37 rating points to SF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-10.473,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873125","date":"2026-12-19","home":"PHI","away":"SEA","time":"2026-12-19T17:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","p":[0.2558,0.0,0.7442],"elo":[1416,1630],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold); PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to SEA.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-8.723,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873126","date":"2026-12-19","home":"BUF","away":"CHI","time":"2026-12-19T20:20:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Highmark Stadium","p":[0.6065,0.0,0.3935],"elo":[1677,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual; BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 17 rating points to CHI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.592,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873127","date":"2026-12-20","home":"WAS","away":"ATL","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Northwest Stadium","p":[0.5272,0.0,0.4728],"elo":[1421,1439],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual; WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to WAS.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":0.905,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873128","date":"2026-12-20","home":"PIT","away":"BAL","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Acrisure Stadium","p":[0.7209,0.0,0.2791],"elo":[1569,1486],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley); PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 49 rating points to PIT.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":7.779,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873129","date":"2026-12-20","home":"CAR","away":"CIN","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Bank of America Stadium","p":[0.3134,0.0,0.6866],"elo":[1428,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual; CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 33 rating points to CIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-6.462,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873130","date":"2026-12-20","home":"NYG","away":"CLE","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.5742,0.0,0.4258],"elo":[1482,1441],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson); NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable). Net 23 rating points to CLE.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.488,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873131","date":"2026-12-20","home":"TEN","away":"IND","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Nissan Stadium","p":[0.4726,0.0,0.5274],"elo":[1314,1401],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual; TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 35 rating points to TEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-0.913,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873132","date":"2026-12-20","home":"HOU","away":"JAX","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Reliant Stadium","p":[0.4227,0.0,0.5773],"elo":[1527,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual; HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to HOU.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-2.593,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873133","date":"2026-12-20","home":"GB","away":"MIA","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Lambeau Field","p":[0.8263,0.0,0.1737],"elo":[1567,1377],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis); GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 48 rating points to GB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":12.488,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873134","date":"2026-12-20","home":"TB","away":"NO","time":"2026-12-20T13:00:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Raymond James Stadium","p":[0.6428,0.0,0.3572],"elo":[1496,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual; TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 5 rating points to NO.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.863,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873135","date":"2026-12-20","home":"ARI","away":"NYJ","time":"2026-12-20T16:05:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"State Farm Stadium","p":[0.5536,0.0,0.4464],"elo":[1387,1341],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 41 rating points to NYJ.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.792,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873136","date":"2026-12-20","home":"LA","away":"DAL","time":"2026-12-20T16:25:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.7155,0.0,0.2845],"elo":[1590,1454],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual; LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 10 rating points to DAL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":7.568,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873137","date":"2026-12-20","home":"LV","away":"DEN","time":"2026-12-20T16:25:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"Allegiant Stadium","p":[0.2038,0.0,0.7962],"elo":[1406,1634],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 42 rating points to DEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-11.005,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873138","date":"2026-12-20","home":"MIN","away":"DET","time":"2026-12-20T20:20:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"U.S. Bank Stadium","p":[0.6805,0.0,0.3195],"elo":[1593,1581],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable); MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 87 rating points to MIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":6.234,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873139","date":"2026-12-21","home":"KC","away":"NE","time":"2026-12-21T20:15:00-04:00","week":15,"venue":"GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium","p":[0.4828,0.0,0.5172],"elo":[1564,1555],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable). Net 54 rating points to NE.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-0.574,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873140","date":"2026-12-24","home":"PHI","away":"HOU","time":"2026-12-24T20:15:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Lincoln Financial Field","p":[0.294,0.0,0.706],"elo":[1416,1527],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual; PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 74 rating points to HOU.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-7.198,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873141","date":"2026-12-25","home":"CHI","away":"GB","time":"2026-12-25T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Soldier Field","p":[0.628,0.0,0.372],"elo":[1618,1567],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual; CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 7 rating points to CHI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.338,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873142","date":"2026-12-25","home":"DEN","away":"BUF","time":"2026-12-25T16:30:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Empower Field at Mile High","p":[0.4752,0.0,0.5248],"elo":[1634,1677],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 7 rating points to BUF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-0.828,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873143","date":"2026-12-25","home":"SEA","away":"LA","time":"2026-12-25T20:15:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Lumen Field","p":[0.5382,0.0,0.4618],"elo":[1630,1590],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual; SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold). Net 46 rating points to LA.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.275,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873144","date":"2026-12-27","home":"PIT","away":"CAR","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Acrisure Stadium","p":[0.7275,0.0,0.2725],"elo":[1569,1428],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to CAR.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":8.043,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873145","date":"2026-12-27","home":"IND","away":"CIN","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Lucas Oil Stadium","p":[0.2541,0.0,0.7459],"elo":[1401,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual; IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 57 rating points to CIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-8.793,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873146","date":"2026-12-27","home":"ATL","away":"TB","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","p":[0.4704,0.0,0.5296],"elo":[1439,1496],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual; ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 3 rating points to ATL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-0.986,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873147","date":"2026-12-27","home":"MIN","away":"WAS","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"U.S. Bank Stadium","p":[0.7957,0.0,0.2043],"elo":[1593,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 31 rating points to MIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":10.983,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873148","date":"2026-12-27","home":"NO","away":"ARI","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Caesars Superdome","p":[0.6424,0.0,0.3576],"elo":[1421,1387],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew); NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 34 rating points to NO.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.849,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873149","date":"2026-12-27","home":"BAL","away":"CLE","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"M&T Bank Stadium","p":[0.5601,0.0,0.4399],"elo":[1486,1441],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson); BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley). Net 37 rating points to CLE.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.011,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873150","date":"2026-12-27","home":"MIA","away":"LAC","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","p":[0.52,0.0,0.48],"elo":[1377,1390],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable); MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis). Net 6 rating points to LAC.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":0.667,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873151","date":"2026-12-27","home":"NYJ","away":"NE","time":"2026-12-27T13:00:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.2666,0.0,0.7334],"elo":[1341,1555],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to NYJ.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-8.279,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873152","date":"2026-12-27","home":"LV","away":"TEN","time":"2026-12-27T16:05:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Allegiant Stadium","p":[0.6029,0.0,0.3971],"elo":[1406,1314],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual; LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 52 rating points to TEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.468,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873153","date":"2026-12-27","home":"KC","away":"SF","time":"2026-12-27T16:25:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium","p":[0.3957,0.0,0.6043],"elo":[1564,1610],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual; KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable). Net 60 rating points to SF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-3.513,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873154","date":"2026-12-27","home":"DAL","away":"JAX","time":"2026-12-27T20:20:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"AT&T Stadium","p":[0.3068,0.0,0.6932],"elo":[1454,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual; DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual. Net 10 rating points to JAX.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-6.712,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873155","date":"2026-12-28","home":"DET","away":"NYG","time":"2026-12-28T20:15:00-04:00","week":16,"venue":"Ford Field","p":[0.6684,0.0,0.3316],"elo":[1581,1482],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable); DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable). Net 10 rating points to NYG.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":5.787,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873156","date":"2026-12-31","home":"CIN","away":"BAL","time":"2026-12-31T20:15:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Paycor Stadium","p":[0.756,0.0,0.244],"elo":[1564,1486],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley); CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 86 rating points to CIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":9.217,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873157","date":"2027-01-03","home":"NE","away":"DEN","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Gillette Stadium","p":[0.4433,0.0,0.5567],"elo":[1555,1634],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual; NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 7 rating points to NE.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.896,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873158","date":"2027-01-03","home":"LAC","away":"KC","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.3363,0.0,0.6637],"elo":[1390,1564],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable); LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable). Net 23 rating points to LAC.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-5.617,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873159","date":"2027-01-03","home":"TB","away":"LA","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Raymond James Stadium","p":[0.4173,0.0,0.5827],"elo":[1496,1590],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual; TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to TB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-2.776,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873160","date":"2027-01-03","home":"JAX","away":"WAS","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"EverBank Stadium","p":[0.7984,0.0,0.2016],"elo":[1618,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 9 rating points to JAX.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":11.11,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873161","date":"2027-01-03","home":"MIA","away":"BUF","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Hard Rock Stadium","p":[0.1473,0.0,0.8527],"elo":[1377,1677],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual; MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis). Net 38 rating points to BUF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-13.929,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873162","date":"2027-01-03","home":"CLE","away":"IND","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Huntington Bank Field","p":[0.614,0.0,0.386],"elo":[1441,1401],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual; CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson). Net 8 rating points to CLE.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.849,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873163","date":"2027-01-03","home":"NYJ","away":"MIN","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.1964,0.0,0.8036],"elo":[1341,1593],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual; NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual. Net 26 rating points to MIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-11.357,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873164","date":"2027-01-03","home":"ATL","away":"NO","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Mercedes-Benz Stadium","p":[0.5693,0.0,0.4307],"elo":[1439,1421],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual; ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 2 rating points to NO.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.321,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873165","date":"2027-01-03","home":"DAL","away":"NYG","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"AT&T Stadium","p":[0.5691,0.0,0.4309],"elo":[1454,1482],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable); DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual. Net 44 rating points to DAL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":2.315,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873166","date":"2027-01-03","home":"TEN","away":"PIT","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Nissan Stadium","p":[0.2325,0.0,0.7675],"elo":[1314,1569],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual; TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual. Net 14 rating points to TEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-9.709,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873167","date":"2027-01-03","home":"CAR","away":"SEA","time":"2027-01-03T13:00:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Bank of America Stadium","p":[0.3352,0.0,0.6648],"elo":[1428,1630],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold); CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 50 rating points to CAR.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-5.655,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873168","date":"2027-01-03","home":"ARI","away":"LV","time":"2027-01-03T16:05:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"State Farm Stadium","p":[0.537,0.0,0.463],"elo":[1387,1406],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 12 rating points to ARI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.235,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873169","date":"2027-01-03","home":"CHI","away":"DET","time":"2027-01-03T16:25:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Soldier Field","p":[0.6949,0.0,0.3051],"elo":[1618,1581],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable); CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 73 rating points to CHI.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":6.776,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873170","date":"2027-01-03","home":"SF","away":"PHI","time":"2027-01-03T20:20:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Levi's Stadium","p":[0.8453,0.0,0.1547],"elo":[1610,1416],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual; SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual. Net 67 rating points to SF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":13.506,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873171","date":"2027-01-04","home":"GB","away":"HOU","time":"2027-01-04T20:15:00-04:00","week":17,"venue":"Lambeau Field","p":[0.6008,0.0,0.3992],"elo":[1567,1527],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual; GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 2 rating points to HOU.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":3.394,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873172","date":"2027-01-10","home":"CAR","away":"ATL","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Bank of America Stadium","p":[0.5277,0.0,0.4723],"elo":[1428,1439],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: ATL (Michael Penix Jr.) +0.2 EPA per game against its usual; CAR (Bryce Young) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 2 rating points to ATL.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":0.923,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873173","date":"2027-01-10","home":"MIN","away":"CHI","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"U.S. Bank Stadium","p":[0.5307,0.0,0.4693],"elo":[1593,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CHI (Caleb Williams) +1.6 EPA per game against its usual; MIN (Kirk Cousins) +2.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 13 rating points to MIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.023,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873174","date":"2027-01-10","home":"CIN","away":"CLE","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Paycor Stadium","p":[0.7655,0.0,0.2345],"elo":[1564,1441],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: CLE (Deshaun Watson) -1.1 EPA per game against its usual (without Deshaun Watson); CIN (Joe Burrow) +2.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 49 rating points to CIN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":9.621,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873175","date":"2027-01-10","home":"WAS","away":"DAL","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Northwest Stadium","p":[0.5022,0.0,0.4978],"elo":[1421,1454],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DAL (Dak Prescott) +0.4 EPA per game against its usual; WAS (Jayden Daniels) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 1 rating points to WAS.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":0.073,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873176","date":"2027-01-10","home":"GB","away":"DET","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Lambeau Field","p":[0.6201,0.0,0.3799],"elo":[1567,1581],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: DET (Jared Goff) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Jared Goff, questionable); GB (Jordan Love) +1.2 EPA per game against its usual. Net 66 rating points to GB.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":4.062,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873177","date":"2027-01-10","home":"IND","away":"JAX","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Lucas Oil Stadium","p":[0.2164,0.0,0.7836],"elo":[1401,1618],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: JAX (Trevor Lawrence) +1.0 EPA per game against its usual; IND (Daniel Jones) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual. Net 39 rating points to JAX.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-10.426,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873178","date":"2027-01-10","home":"KC","away":"LV","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium","p":[0.7438,0.0,0.2562],"elo":[1564,1406],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LV (Fernando Mendoza) -2.7 EPA per game against its usual; KC (Patrick Mahomes) -3.1 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Patrick Mahomes, questionable). Net 6 rating points to LV.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":8.706,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873179","date":"2027-01-10","home":"DEN","away":"LAC","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Empower Field at Mile High","p":[0.8503,0.0,0.1497],"elo":[1634,1390],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: LAC (Justin Herbert) -1.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over Justin Herbert, questionable); DEN (Bo Nix) +0.0 EPA per game against its usual. Net 25 rating points to DEN.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":13.789,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873180","date":"2027-01-10","home":"NE","away":"MIA","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Gillette Stadium","p":[0.8067,0.0,0.1933],"elo":[1555,1377],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: MIA (Malik Willis) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Malik Willis); NE (Drake Maye) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 38 rating points to NE.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":11.507,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873181","date":"2027-01-10","home":"BUF","away":"NYJ","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Highmark Stadium","p":[0.8908,0.0,0.1092],"elo":[1677,1341],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: NYJ (Geno Smith) +0.8 EPA per game against its usual; BUF (Josh Allen) +0.5 EPA per game against its usual. Net 4 rating points to NYJ.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":16.356,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873182","date":"2027-01-10","home":"NYG","away":"PHI","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"MetLife Stadium","p":[0.6602,0.0,0.3398],"elo":[1482,1416],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PHI (Joe Milton III) -3.6 EPA per game against its usual; NYG (J.J. McCarthy) -2.6 EPA per game against its usual (doubts over J.J. McCarthy, questionable). Net 16 rating points to NYG.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":5.487,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873183","date":"2027-01-10","home":"BAL","away":"PIT","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"M&T Bank Stadium","p":[0.3615,0.0,0.6385],"elo":[1486,1569],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: PIT (Aaron Rodgers) -0.2 EPA per game against its usual; BAL (Tyler Huntley) -3.5 EPA per game against its usual (without Tyler Huntley). Net 49 rating points to PIT.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-4.71,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873184","date":"2027-01-10","home":"ARI","away":"SF","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"State Farm Stadium","p":[0.2074,0.0,0.7926],"elo":[1387,1610],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SF (Brock Purdy) +0.9 EPA per game against its usual; ARI (Gardner Minshew) -2.0 EPA per game against its usual (without Gardner Minshew). Net 43 rating points to SF.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-10.837,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873185","date":"2027-01-10","home":"LA","away":"SEA","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"SoFi Stadium","p":[0.5564,0.0,0.4436],"elo":[1590,1630],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: SEA (Sam Darnold) -3.3 EPA per game against its usual (without Sam Darnold); LA (Matthew Stafford) -0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 46 rating points to LA.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":1.887,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873186","date":"2027-01-10","home":"NO","away":"TB","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Caesars Superdome","p":[0.4483,0.0,0.5517],"elo":[1421,1496],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TB (Baker Mayfield) -0.0 EPA per game against its usual; NO (Tyler Shough) +0.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 5 rating points to NO.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":-1.727,"sigma":13.289}},{"id":"401873187","date":"2027-01-10","home":"HOU","away":"TEN","time":"2027-01-10T13:00:00-04:00","week":18,"venue":"Reliant Stadium","p":[0.8122,0.0,0.1878],"elo":[1527,1314],"adj_note":"Starting quarterbacks: TEN (Cam Ward) +0.7 EPA per game against its usual; HOU (C.J. Stroud) +1.3 EPA per game against its usual. Net 8 rating points to HOU.","wpm":{"kind":"normal","mu":11.777,"sigma":13.289}}]}