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finals are simulated with the real top-eight system: qualifying and elimination finals, semi-finals, preliminary finals and the grand final. Games already played in the finals keep their real result.","A draw after golden point is rare, so the draw band the model learns is narrow."],"glossary":[],"notes":["The ladder is ESPN's official one, with two points for each bye.","The rating does not know who is injured, suspended or rested. Origin weeks are not treated differently."],"sources":[["ESPN","https://www.espn.com/nrl/","Every NRL game since 2001, the ladder and match stats"]],"downloads":[{"file":"/data/nrl/csv/games.csv","label":"Every 2026 game with our pre-game probabilities","rows":213},{"file":"/data/nrl/csv/ratings.csv","label":"Current ratings","rows":17},{"file":"/data/nrl/csv/standings.csv","label":"The table","rows":17},{"file":"/data/nrl/csv/track_record.csv","label":"Track record by season","rows":8},{"file":"/data/nrl/csv/all_games.csv","label":"Every game in the model's history, with the pre-game probability","rows":2264}],"parts":{"explorer":1}}