9 Sep 2026
Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Shelton 3 – 2 Alcaraz · Ben Shelton won. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 74.7% and Ben Shelton at 25.3%.
Ratings before the match: Alcaraz 2097, Shelton 1862.
Hard court
Weather during the match: 21°C, wind 5 km/h (gusts 10).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Alcaraz | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 74.7% | 25.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 75.8% | 24.2% |
| Polymarket | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Kalshi | 86.0% | 14.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Ben Shelton LWWWW, Carlos Alcaraz WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | 0–2 | 75% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Ben Shelton won 3–2 on 9 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Ben Shelton 25%.