Track record

How PodiumOracle's predictions did on held-back seasons in every league: log loss against simple baselines and betting markets, and how often the favourite won.

Every league

LeagueHeld backForecastsLog lossFavourite won
SailGP2026941.91727%
52 SUPER SERIES2024 to 20261172.43017%
AFC Asian Cup2023 (played 2024)510.88657%
AFL2024 to 20266490.61768%
AHL2024–25 to 2025–2624760.68357%
ATP2024 to 202687340.62863%
America's Cup2024 to 20261361.05360%
Belgian Pro League2024–25 to 2026–276891.01250%
Bellator2022 to 20244330.65366%
Big Bash2025 to 2026840.66761%
Brasileirão2024 to 202610371.01250%
Bundesliga2024–25 to 2026–276480.99152%
CFL2024 to 20262330.66557%
Champions Cup2024–25 to 2025–261260.58076%
Champions League2024–25 to 2026–273960.85661%
College football2024 to 202686940.48776%
Conference League2024–25 to 2025–263060.97353%
DP World Tour2024 to 2026954.4624%
ECHL2024–25 to 2025–2622830.66959%
EFL Championship2024–25 to 2026–2712091.04845%
Eredivisie2024–25 to 2026–276810.97253%
EuroLeague2024–25 to 2026–277420.62564%
Europa League2024–25 to 2026–273960.97555%
FIFA World Cup2024 to 202627230.86960%
Formula 12024 to 2026621.77832%
Formula 22024 to 2026392.8665%
Formula 32024 to 2026293.14410%
Formula E2023–24 to 2025–26492.85514%
ICC Men's Cricket World CupRoad to 2019 to Road to 202712630.63564%
ICC Men's T20 World CupRoad to 2024 to Road to 202820420.59167%
ICC Women's Cricket World CupRoad to 2022 to Road to 20294410.56371%
ICC Women's T20 World CupRoad to 2024 to Road to 202813420.55072%
ICC World Test ChampionshipRoad to 2023 to Road to 20272090.89859%
IPL2024 to 20262150.69749%
IndyCar2024 to 2026532.43230%
LIV Golf2024 to 2026403.30510%
LPGA Tour2024 to 2026843.80619%
La Liga2024–25 to 2026–278290.97253%
Liga MXApertura 2025 to Apertura 20264181.00652%
Liga ProfesionalClausura 2025 to Clausura 20266601.07142%
Ligue 12024–25 to 2026–276570.98654%
Liiga2024–25 to 2026–2711420.67159%
MLB2024 to 202673510.68156%
MLS2024 to 202614501.04947%
Moto22024 to 2026582.62817%
MotoGP2024 to 20261151.85536%
NASCAR Cup Series2024 to 20261003.12311%
NBA2024–25 to 2025–2626430.59968%
NBL2025–26 to 2026–271890.63461%
NCAA baseball2024 to 2026113380.60267%
NCAA men's basketball2024–25 to 2025–26125920.51374%
NCAA men's hockey2024–25 to 2025–2623140.84461%
NCAA men's lacrosse2024 to 202613830.51174%
NCAA softball2024 to 202691440.50375%
NCAA women's basketball2024–25 to 2025–26116650.46377%
NCAA women's hockey2024–25 to 2025–2615500.72769%
NCAA women's lacrosse2024 to 202626290.45577%
NCAA women's volleyball2024 to 202687750.50575%
NFL2024 to 20266030.62266%
NHL2024–25 to 2025–2627920.67956%
NRL2024 to 20266270.69363%
NWSL2024 to 20265811.01250%
National Lacrosse League2024–25 to 2025–262750.67957%
Nations Championship2024 to 20261600.55575%
OHL2024–25 to 2026–2715330.62665%
PFL2024 to 20263880.63961%
PGA Tour2024 to 20261324.30314%
PGA Tour Champions2024 to 2026763.35212%
PSL2024 to 20261080.69455%
PWHL2024–25 to 2025–262350.67855%
Premier League2024–25 to 2026–278101.01450%
Premiership2024–25 to 2026–271880.60971%
Primeira Liga2024–25 to 2026–276740.93353%
QMJHL2024–25 to 2026–2713340.62763%
Rugby World Cup2019 to 2023930.41185%
SA202025 to 2026600.69658%
SHL2024–25 to 2026–278340.67460%
Saudi Pro League2024–25 to 2026–276750.92656%
Scottish Premiership2024–25 to 2026–274980.98053%
Serie A2024–25 to 2026–278100.98652%
Six Nations2024 to 2026450.62273%
Super Rugby Pacific2024 to 20262570.61371%
Süper Lig2024–25 to 2026–277020.97852%
The Hundred2024 to 2026990.66757%
The Rugby Championship2023 to 2025300.67673%
Top 142024–25 to 2026–273950.63876%
UFC2024 to 202615590.66860%
United Rugby Championship2024–25 to 2026–273050.70470%
WHL2024–25 to 2026–2717090.62365%
WNBA2024 to 20269050.60069%
WTA2024 to 202691760.62763%
Women's Super League2024–25 to 2026–272850.88460%
World Match Racing Tour2024 to 2026821.73149%