6 Nov 2026
Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
Fritz 1 – 2 Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz won. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 79.2% and Taylor Fritz at 20.8%.
Ratings before the match: Alcaraz 2092, Fritz 1864.
Hard court
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Alcaraz | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 79.2% | 20.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 71.4% | 28.6% |
| Polymarket | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| Kalshi | 74.0% | 26.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Taylor Fritz WLWWW, Carlos Alcaraz WWWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Carlos Alcaraz won 2–1 on 6 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Carlos Alcaraz 79%.