7 Nov 2026
Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
Ruud 0 – 2 Alcaraz · Carlos Alcaraz won. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 85.0% and Casper Ruud at 15.0%.
Ratings before the match: Alcaraz 2098, Ruud 1808.
Hard court
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Polymarket | 82.5% | 17.5% |
| Kalshi | 84.0% | 16.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Casper Ruud LWWWW, Carlos Alcaraz WWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud | 2–0 | 91% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz?
Carlos Alcaraz won 2–0 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Carlos Alcaraz 85%.