12 Nov 2026
Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo
We have Alejandro Tabilo at 30.2% and Alex Michelsen at 69.8%.
Ratings going in: Tabilo 1634, Michelsen 1753.
Hard court
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Tabilo | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Polymarket | 23.5% | 76.5% |
| Kalshi | 23.0% | 77.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Alex Michelsen LWLWW, Alejandro Tabilo LLLLW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo | 2–1 | 54% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo?
PodiumOracle's model makes Alex Michelsen the favourite at 70%, with Alejandro Tabilo at 30%. The markets give Alex Michelsen 77% on Polymarket and 76% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 70% favourite still loses 30% of the time.
When and where is Alex Michelsen vs Alejandro Tabilo?
12 November 2026. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.