12 Nov 2026
Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert
We have Ugo Humbert at 34.2% and Lorenzo Musetti at 65.8%.
Ratings going in: Humbert 1663, Musetti 1821.
Hard court
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Humbert | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| Polymarket | 35.5% | 64.5% |
| Kalshi | 35.0% | 65.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Lorenzo Musetti LWWLW, Ugo Humbert LWLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert?
PodiumOracle's model makes Lorenzo Musetti the favourite at 66%, with Ugo Humbert at 34%. The markets give Lorenzo Musetti 65% on Polymarket and 66% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 66% favourite still loses 34% of the time.
When and where is Lorenzo Musetti vs Ugo Humbert?
12 November 2026. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.