7 Nov 2026
Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Nagel
Fearnley 2 – 0 Nagel · Jacob Fearnley won. We had Arthur Nagel at 40.8% and Jacob Fearnley at 59.2%.
Ratings before the match: Nagel 1500, Fearnley 1560.
Hard court
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Nagel | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 11.6% | 88.4% |
| Polymarket | 4.5% | 95.5% |
| Kalshi | 10.0% | 90.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Jacob Fearnley LWLWW, Arthur Nagel no games yet.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Nagel?
Jacob Fearnley won 2–0 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Jacob Fearnley 59%.