8 Nov 2026
Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
Mannarino 1 – 2 Samuel · Toby Samuel won. We had Toby Samuel at 44.2% and Adrian Mannarino at 55.8%.
Ratings before the match: Samuel 1583, Mannarino 1606.
Hard court
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Samuel | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Polymarket | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Kalshi | 48.0% | 52.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this match: Adrian Mannarino WWLLW, Toby Samuel DWLLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel?
Toby Samuel won 2–1 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Toby Samuel 44%.