Cricket · 2027 season
Big Bash forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Perth Scorchers, 23%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2026 | Perth Scorchers at Melbourne Renegades | 56% | 44% |
| 15 Dec 2026 | Sydney Sixers at Brisbane Heat | 49% | 51% |
| 16 Dec 2026 | Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder | 52% | 48% |
| 17 Dec 2026 | Brisbane Heat at Hobart Hurricanes | 37% | 63% |
| 18 Dec 2026 | Adelaide Strikers at Melbourne Stars | 38% | 62% |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Sydney Sixers at Sydney Thunder | 53% | 47% |
| 20 Dec 2026 | Hobart Hurricanes at Perth Scorchers | 39% | 61% |
| 21 Dec 2026 | Brisbane Heat at Melbourne Stars | 40% | 60% |
| 22 Dec 2026 | Melbourne Renegades at Sydney Sixers | 31% | 69% |
| 23 Dec 2026 | Sydney Thunder at Adelaide Strikers | 40% | 60% |
| 24 Dec 2026 | Hobart Hurricanes at Melbourne Renegades | 53% | 47% |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Brisbane Heat at Sydney Sixers | 36% | 64% |
| 26 Dec 2026 | Melbourne Stars at Perth Scorchers | 36% | 64% |
| 27 Dec 2026 | Melbourne Renegades at Sydney Thunder | 41% | 59% |
| 28 Dec 2026 | Adelaide Strikers at Brisbane Heat | 41% | 59% |
| 29 Dec 2026 | Melbourne Stars at Hobart Hurricanes | 39% | 61% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Make play-offs | Top two | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perth Scorchers | 69% | 42% | 42% | 23% |
| Sydney Sixers | 65% | 36% | 37% | 19% |
| Hobart Hurricanes | 59% | 31% | 32% | 17% |
| Melbourne Stars | 55% | 28% | 27% | 14% |
| Adelaide Strikers | 48% | 22% | 20% | 9% |
| Brisbane Heat | 42% | 18% | 19% | 8% |
| Sydney Thunder | 31% | 12% | 12% | 5% |
| Melbourne Renegades | 31% | 12% | 11% | 5% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2027 Big Bash title?
Perth Scorchers, at 23%, ahead of Sydney Sixers (19%), Hobart Hurricanes (17%) and Melbourne Stars (14%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next Big Bash games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Perth Scorchers at Melbourne Renegades (12 December 2026): Perth Scorchers 56%; Sydney Sixers at Brisbane Heat (15 December 2026): Brisbane Heat 51%; Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (16 December 2026): Adelaide Strikers 52%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's Big Bash predictions?
On 84 games from held-back seasons (2025 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 61% of the time. Its log loss was 0.667, against 0.667 for the base rate and 0.671 for recent form.
How are the Big Bash predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Big Bash title odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.