Football · 2026–27 season
Belgian Pro League forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Union St.-Gilloise, 53%.
Upcoming
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2026 | KVC Westerlo at Cercle Brugge KSV | 35% | 25% | 39% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Sint-Truidense at Royal Charleroi SC | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | RAAL La Louvière at Racing Genk | 16% | 19% | 66% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Club Brugge at KV Mechelen | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Antwerp at Zulte-Waregem | 35% | 25% | 39% |
| 22 Nov 2026 | KAA Gent at Waasland-Beveren | 58% | 22% | 21% |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Union St.-Gilloise at KV Kortrijk | 79% | 12% | 8% |
| 22 Nov 2026 | OH Leuven at Anderlecht | 19% | 21% | 60% |
| 22 Nov 2026 | Standard Liege at Lommel SK | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| 27 Nov 2026 | KV Kortrijk at OH Leuven | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | RAAL La Louvière at KVC Westerlo | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | KV Mechelen at Cercle Brugge KSV | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Zulte-Waregem at Lommel SK | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Waasland-Beveren at Royal Charleroi SC | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Racing Genk at Sint-Truidense | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| 29 Nov 2026 | Anderlecht at Antwerp | 41% | 25% | 34% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Zulte-Waregem at Sint-Truidense | 1–4 | 53% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Racing Genk at Union St.-Gilloise | 0–1 | 68% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | KV Kortrijk at KAA Gent | 0–1 | 72% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Anderlecht at Club Brugge | 1–1 | 16% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Cercle Brugge KSV at RAAL La Louvière | 1–0 | 35% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Lommel SK at Antwerp | 2–2 | 25% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | KV Mechelen at OH Leuven | 0–2 | 39% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Royal Charleroi SC at KVC Westerlo | 5–1 | 37% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | Waasland-Beveren at Standard Liege | 0–3 | 60% |
| 4 Nov 2026 | KV Mechelen at KV Kortrijk | 3–1 | 43% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Champions' play-offs | Europe play-offs | Bottom | Win the title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union St.-Gilloise | >99% | <1% | 0% | 53% |
| Club Brugge | >99% | <1% | 0% | 44% |
| KAA Gent | 95% | 5% | 0% | 2% |
| Royal Charleroi SC | 93% | 7% | 0% | 2% |
| Anderlecht | 68% | 31% | 0% | <1% |
| Racing Genk | 50% | 46% | 0% | <1% |
| Lommel SK | 32% | 61% | <1% | 0% |
| Standard Liege | 15% | 65% | <1% | 0% |
| KVC Westerlo | 13% | 65% | <1% | 0% |
| Sint-Truidense | 13% | 63% | <1% | 0% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 Belgian Pro League title?
Union St.-Gilloise, at 53%, ahead of Club Brugge (44%), KAA Gent (2%) and Royal Charleroi SC (2%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next Belgian Pro League games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: KVC Westerlo at Cercle Brugge KSV (20 November 2026): Cercle Brugge KSV 39%, a draw 25%; Sint-Truidense at Royal Charleroi SC (21 November 2026): Royal Charleroi SC 51%, a draw 24%; RAAL La Louvière at Racing Genk (21 November 2026): Racing Genk 66%, a draw 19%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's Belgian Pro League predictions?
On 725 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 50% of the time. Its log loss was 1.007, against 1.075 for the base rate and 1.044 for recent form, and 0.991 for the closing betting odds. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.958 against the bookmakers' 0.957 over 214 games, 0.893 against Polymarket's 0.894 over 87 games and 0.993 against Kalshi's 0.983 over 243 games (lower is better).
How are the Belgian Pro League predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Belgian Pro League title odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.