Cricket · 2026 season over
IPL forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Royal Challengers Bengaluru, 14%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2026 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru at Gujarat Titans | Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 5 wickets | 47% |
| 29 May 2026 | Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals | Gujarat Titans won by 7 wickets | 52% |
| 27 May 2026 | Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals | Rajasthan Royals won by 47 runs | 49% |
| 26 May 2026 | Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru | Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 92 runs | 51% |
| 24 May 2026 | Rajasthan Royals at Mumbai Indians | Rajasthan Royals won by 30 runs | 48% |
| 24 May 2026 | Delhi Capitals at Kolkata Knight Riders | Delhi Capitals won by 40 runs | 46% |
| 23 May 2026 | Punjab Kings at Lucknow Super Giants | Punjab Kings won by 7 wickets | 48% |
| 22 May 2026 | Royal Challengers Bengaluru at Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 55 runs | 51% |
| 21 May 2026 | Chennai Super Kings at Gujarat Titans | Gujarat Titans won by 89 runs | 57% |
| 20 May 2026 | Mumbai Indians at Kolkata Knight Riders | Kolkata Knight Riders won by 4 wickets | 55% |
| 19 May 2026 | Lucknow Super Giants at Rajasthan Royals | Rajasthan Royals won by 7 wickets | 54% |
| 18 May 2026 | Sunrisers Hyderabad at Chennai Super Kings | Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 5 wickets | 47% |
Chance of winning the title
| Team | Make play-offs | Top two | Reach final | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 49% | 27% | 26% | 14% |
| Gujarat Titans | 41% | 21% | 21% | 11% |
| Punjab Kings | 45% | 23% | 23% | 11% |
| Kolkata Knight Riders | 40% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Rajasthan Royals | 41% | 21% | 20% | 10% |
| Sunrisers Hyderabad | 38% | 19% | 19% | 10% |
| Delhi Capitals | 39% | 19% | 19% | 10% |
| Chennai Super Kings | 37% | 17% | 18% | 9% |
| Lucknow Super Giants | 35% | 17% | 17% | 8% |
| Mumbai Indians | 35% | 17% | 17% | 8% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2027 IPL title?
Royal Challengers Bengaluru, at 14%, ahead of Gujarat Titans (11%), Punjab Kings (11%) and Kolkata Knight Riders (10%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the next season, on last season's schedule with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's IPL predictions?
On 215 games from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 49% of the time. Its log loss was 0.697, against 0.695 for the base rate and 0.703 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.697 against the bookmakers' 0.701 over 73 games, 0.702 against Polymarket's 0.701 over 98 games and 0.697 against Kalshi's 0.706 over 73 games (lower is better).
How are the IPL predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.