8 Nov 2026 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Marseille at Lens
Marseille 2 – 1 Lens · Marseille won. We had Lens at 44.2%, a draw at 28.4% and Marseille at 27.4%.
Ratings before the game: Lens 1610, Marseille 1595, plus 50 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 5°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 7).
The betting market (closing odds) had Lens at 43.3%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Lens | Draw | Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.2% | 28.4% | 27.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 42.8% | 25.8% | 31.3% |
| Polymarket | 43.3% | 26.4% | 30.3% |
| Kalshi | 43.6% | 25.7% | 30.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Marseille LWWWW, Lens LWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2027 | Lens at Marseille | 29% | 29% | 42% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Marseille at Lens?
Marseille won 2–1 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Marseille 27%.