PodiumOracle Ligue 1

Football · 2026–27 season

Ligue 1 forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the title odds. Favourite right now: Paris Saint-Germain, 54%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeDrawAway
9 Oct 2026Lyon at Lens41%29%30%
10 Oct 2026Le Havre AC at Lille65%21%14%
10 Oct 2026Le Mans at Paris Saint-Germain78%14%8%
10 Oct 2026Toulouse at AS Monaco56%25%19%
10 Oct 2026Paris FC at Lorient36%29%35%
10 Oct 2026Angers at Brest50%27%23%
11 Oct 2026Strasbourg at Nice33%29%38%
11 Oct 2026AJ Auxerre at Stade Rennais56%25%19%
11 Oct 2026Marseille at Troyes19%25%56%
16 Oct 2026Toulouse at Le Mans34%29%37%
17 Oct 2026Paris Saint-Germain at Strasbourg23%27%50%
17 Oct 2026Lens at Troyes17%24%60%
17 Oct 2026Brest at Lille58%24%18%
18 Oct 2026Marseille at Angers25%28%47%
18 Oct 2026Stade Rennais at Paris FC37%29%33%
18 Oct 2026AS Monaco at Lorient27%28%44%

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
20 Sep 2026Paris Saint-Germain at Marseille2–147%
20 Sep 2026Lille at Nice1–226%
20 Sep 2026Brest at AJ Auxerre1–239%
19 Sep 2026Le Havre AC at Toulouse2–351%
19 Sep 2026Stade Rennais at Lyon0–443%
19 Sep 2026Lorient at Le Mans1–234%
19 Sep 2026Troyes at Angers0–248%
19 Sep 2026Strasbourg at Paris FC1–238%

Chance of winning the title

Every team

TeamWin titleTop fourRelegation play-offRelegated
Paris Saint-Germain54%92%0%0%
AS Monaco17%70%<1%0%
Lyon10%56%<1%<1%
Lille8%51%<1%<1%
Stade Rennais4%36%<1%<1%
Paris FC2%23%1%1%
Lens2%24%1%1%
Strasbourg2%20%1%1%
Marseille1%15%2%2%
Toulouse<1%4%7%7%