North
France
Rated 1974 (No. 4 of 12), 3–1 this season, 17% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 58%
- Top of conference
- 17%
- Win the title
- 23.0
- Projected points
Rating
France is rated 1974, No. 4 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | South Africa at France | 60% | 3% | 37% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Argentina at France | 10% | 1% | 89% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Fiji at France | 17–54 | 93% |
Questions and answers
What is France's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
17%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. France is No. 4 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do France play next, and what are their chances?
South Africa at France on 13 November 2026 at Stade de France. PodiumOracle's model gives France 37%, a draw 3%.