North
Ireland
Rated 1991 (No. 3 of 12), 3–1 this season, 7% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 21%
- Top of conference
- 7%
- Win the title
- 21.2
- Projected points
Rating
Ireland is rated 1991, No. 3 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Fiji at Ireland | 5% | 1% | 94% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | South Africa at Ireland | 57% | 3% | 39% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2026 | Argentina at Ireland | 12–42 | 89% |
Questions and answers
What is Ireland's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
7%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Ireland is No. 3 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Ireland play next, and what are their chances?
Fiji at Ireland on 14 November 2026 at Aviva Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Ireland 94%, a draw 1%.