South
South Africa
Rated 2139 (No. 1 of 12), 4–0 this season, 29% to win the Nations Championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 39%
- Top of conference
- 29%
- Win the title
- 25.6
- Projected points
Rating
South Africa is rated 2139, No. 1 of 12. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | South Africa at France | 60% | 3% | 37% |
| 21 Nov 2026 | South Africa at Ireland | 57% | 3% | 39% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | South Africa at Italy | 66–7 | 95% |
Questions and answers
What is South Africa's chance of winning the 2026 Nations Championship?
29%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. South Africa is No. 1 of 12 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do South Africa play next, and what are their chances?
South Africa at France on 13 November 2026 at Stade de France. PodiumOracle's model gives South Africa 60%, a draw 3%.