AHA

Mercyhurst

Rated 1663 (No. 14 of 45), 7–2–1 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

53%
Make NCAA tournament
23%
Quarter-final
2%
Frozen Four
<1%
Title game
<1%
Win title
21.3
Projected wins

Rating

Mercyhurst is rated 1663, No. 14 of 45. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
13 Nov 2026Penn State at Mercyhurst68%10%22%
14 Nov 2026Penn State at Mercyhurst68%10%22%

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
7 Nov 2026Mercyhurst at Delaware7–191%
6 Nov 2026Mercyhurst at Delaware1–091%

Questions and answers

What is Mercyhurst's chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Mercyhurst is No. 14 of 45 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Mercyhurst play next, and what are their chances?

Penn State at Mercyhurst on 13 November 2026. PodiumOracle's model gives Mercyhurst 22%, a draw 10%.