AHA

Penn State

Rated 1874 (No. 4 of 45), 9–1 this season, 3% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

>99%
Make NCAA tournament
98%
Quarter-final
56%
Frozen Four
14%
Title game
3%
Win title
27.4
Projected wins

Rating

Penn State is rated 1874, No. 4 of 45. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
13 Nov 2026Penn State at Mercyhurst68%10%22%
14 Nov 2026Penn State at Mercyhurst68%10%22%

Questions and answers

What is Penn State's chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

3%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Penn State is No. 4 of 45 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Penn State play next, and what are their chances?

Penn State at Mercyhurst on 13 November 2026. PodiumOracle's model gives Penn State 68%, a draw 10%.