14 Nov 2026 · Stephen C. O'Connell Center
Merrimack Warriors at Florida Gators
We have Florida Gators at 98.0% and Merrimack Warriors at 2.0%.
Ratings going in: Florida 2236, Merrimack 1675, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: MRMK -1.3 game score against its usual; FLA +1.5 game score against its usual. Net 22 rating points to FLA.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Florida | Merrimack |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 98.0% | 2.0% |
| Polymarket | 86.5% | 13.5% |
| Kalshi | 99.5% | 0.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Merrimack Warriors LLW, Florida Gators WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Merrimack Warriors at Florida Gators?
PodiumOracle's model makes Florida Gators the favourite at 98%, with Merrimack Warriors at 2%. The markets give Florida Gators 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 98% favourite still loses 2% of the time.
When and where is Merrimack Warriors at Florida Gators?
14 November 2026, at Stephen C. O'Connell Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.