PodiumOracle NCAA men's basketball

Basketball · 2026–27 season

NCAA men's basketball forecasts

Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the national championship odds. Favourite right now: Duke Blue Devils, 28%.

Upcoming

DateGameHomeAway
2 Nov 2026Lafayette Leopards at Butler Bulldogs94%6%
2 Nov 2026Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators81%19%
2 Nov 2026North Carolina Central Eagles at Georgia Bulldogs97%3%
2 Nov 2026Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Mississippi State Bulldogs89%11%
2 Nov 2026East Texas A&M Lions at Oklahoma Sooners98%2%
2 Nov 2026Chicago State Cougars at Texas Longhorns98%2%
2 Nov 2026Kansas City Roos at Creighton Bluejays98%2%
2 Nov 2026West Georgia Wolves at DePaul Blue Demons85%15%
2 Nov 2026Mercyhurst Lakers at Marquette Golden Eagles91%9%
2 Nov 2026Maine Black Bears at Providence Friars95%5%
2 Nov 2026Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers at Xavier Musketeers78%22%
2 Nov 2026Army Black Knights at Duke Blue Devils>99%<1%
2 Nov 2026Rider Broncs at Pittsburgh Panthers96%4%
2 Nov 2026New Haven Chargers at Syracuse Orange88%12%
2 Nov 2026Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Wake Forest Demon Deacons97%3%
2 Nov 2026Abilene Christian Wildcats at Colorado Buffaloes90%10%

Chance of winning the national championship

Every team

TeamMake tournamentSweet 16Final FourTitle gameWin title
Duke Blue Devils94%75%51%39%28%
Arizona Wildcats57%46%30%22%15%
Florida Gators100%80%42%25%13%
Purdue Boilermakers73%50%25%13%7%
Alabama Crimson Tide>99%71%28%14%6%
Tennessee Volunteers>99%70%28%14%6%
Arkansas Razorbacks88%56%23%12%5%
Vanderbilt Commodores79%48%19%10%4%
Iowa State Cyclones54%33%13%7%3%
Gonzaga Bulldogs27%18%7%4%2%