14 Nov 2026 · Dean E. Smith Center
Georgia Bulldogs at North Carolina Tar Heels
We have North Carolina Tar Heels at 82.1% and Georgia Bulldogs at 17.9%.
Ratings going in: North Carolina 2019, Georgia 1922, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: UGA -0.4 game score against its usual; UNC +9.2 game score against its usual. Net 77 rating points to UNC.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | North Carolina | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 82.1% | 17.9% |
| Polymarket | 66.5% | 33.5% |
| Kalshi | 61.0% | 39.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Georgia Bulldogs WWW, North Carolina Tar Heels WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Georgia Bulldogs at North Carolina Tar Heels?
PodiumOracle's model makes North Carolina Tar Heels the favourite at 82%, with Georgia Bulldogs at 18%. The markets give North Carolina Tar Heels 64% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 82% favourite still loses 18% of the time.
When and where is Georgia Bulldogs at North Carolina Tar Heels?
14 November 2026, at Dean E. Smith Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.