12 Nov 2026 · Global Credit Union Arena
Cal Poly Mustangs at Grand Canyon Lopes
We have Grand Canyon Lopes at 90.6% and Cal Poly Mustangs at 9.4%.
Ratings going in: Grand Canyon 1881, Cal Poly 1638, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: CP +0.2 game score against its usual; GCU +7.9 game score against its usual. Net 61 rating points to GCU.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Grand Canyon | Cal Poly |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 90.6% | 9.4% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 93.7% | 6.3% |
| Kalshi | 94.0% | 6.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Cal Poly Mustangs WL, Grand Canyon Lopes WW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Cal Poly Mustangs at Grand Canyon Lopes?
PodiumOracle's model makes Grand Canyon Lopes the favourite at 91%, with Cal Poly Mustangs at 9%. The markets give Grand Canyon Lopes over 99% on Polymarket, 99% on Kalshi and 94% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 91% favourite still loses 9% of the time.
When and where is Cal Poly Mustangs at Grand Canyon Lopes?
12 November 2026, at Global Credit Union Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.