12 Nov 2026 · Bryce Jordan Center
Mercyhurst Lakers at Penn State Nittany Lions
We have Penn State Nittany Lions at 73.5% and Mercyhurst Lakers at 26.5%.
Ratings going in: Penn State 1603, Mercyhurst 1524, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: MERC +2.2 game score against its usual; PSU +3.3 game score against its usual. Net 8 rating points to PSU.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Penn State | Mercyhurst |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 73.5% | 26.5% |
| Polymarket | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| Kalshi | 96.5% | 3.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Mercyhurst Lakers LLW, Penn State Nittany Lions WWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Mercyhurst Lakers at Penn State Nittany Lions?
PodiumOracle's model makes Penn State Nittany Lions the favourite at 73%, with Mercyhurst Lakers at 27%. The markets give Penn State Nittany Lions 97% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 73% favourite still loses 27% of the time.
When and where is Mercyhurst Lakers at Penn State Nittany Lions?
12 November 2026, at Bryce Jordan Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.