14 Nov 2026 · University Credit Union Pavilion
UIC Flames at Saint Mary's Gaels
We have Saint Mary's Gaels at 86.3% and UIC Flames at 13.7%.
Ratings going in: Saint Mary's 2016, UIC 1766, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: UIC +1.4 game score against its usual; SMC -1.0 game score against its usual. Net 20 rating points to UIC.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Saint Mary's | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 86.3% | 13.7% |
| Polymarket | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| Kalshi | 78.0% | 22.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: UIC Flames WWW, Saint Mary's Gaels WWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win UIC Flames at Saint Mary's Gaels?
PodiumOracle's model makes Saint Mary's Gaels the favourite at 86%, with UIC Flames at 14%. The markets give Saint Mary's Gaels 78% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 86% favourite still loses 14% of the time.
When and where is UIC Flames at Saint Mary's Gaels?
14 November 2026, at University Credit Union Pavilion. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.