14 Nov 2026 · Bud Walton Arena
Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas Razorbacks
We have Arkansas Razorbacks at 94.2% and Central Arkansas Bears at 5.8%.
Ratings going in: Arkansas 2073, C Arkansas 1694, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: CARK +4.0 game score against its usual; ARK +5.8 game score against its usual. Net 14 rating points to ARK.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Arkansas | C Arkansas |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 94.2% | 5.8% |
| Polymarket | 86.1% | 14.0% |
| Kalshi | 97.5% | 2.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Central Arkansas Bears WLW, Arkansas Razorbacks WLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas Razorbacks?
PodiumOracle's model makes Arkansas Razorbacks the favourite at 94%, with Central Arkansas Bears at 6%. The markets give Arkansas Razorbacks 98% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 94% favourite still loses 6% of the time.
When and where is Central Arkansas Bears at Arkansas Razorbacks?
14 November 2026, at Bud Walton Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.