14 Nov 2026 · Lenovo Center
Troy Trojans at NC State Wolfpack
We have NC State Wolfpack at 84.8% and Troy Trojans at 15.2%.
Ratings going in: NC State 1864, Troy 1687, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: TROY +0.3 game score against its usual; NCSU +4.2 game score against its usual. Net 31 rating points to NCSU.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | NC State | Troy |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 84.8% | 15.2% |
| Kalshi | 95.5% | 4.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Troy Trojans LLW, NC State Wolfpack WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Troy Trojans at NC State Wolfpack?
PodiumOracle's model makes NC State Wolfpack the favourite at 85%, with Troy Trojans at 15%. The markets give NC State Wolfpack 96% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 85% favourite still loses 15% of the time.
When and where is Troy Trojans at NC State Wolfpack?
14 November 2026, at Lenovo Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.