14 Nov 2026 · ICCU Arena
Cal Poly Mustangs at Idaho Vandals
We have Idaho Vandals at 66.1% and Cal Poly Mustangs at 33.9%.
Ratings going in: Idaho 1683, Cal Poly 1638, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: CP +0.2 game score against its usual; IDHO -2.1 game score against its usual. Net 19 rating points to CP.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Idaho | Cal Poly |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 66.1% | 33.9% |
| Polymarket | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| Kalshi | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Cal Poly Mustangs WL, Idaho Vandals WLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Cal Poly Mustangs at Idaho Vandals?
PodiumOracle's model makes Idaho Vandals the favourite at 66%, with Cal Poly Mustangs at 34%. The markets give Idaho Vandals 55% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 66% favourite still loses 34% of the time.
When and where is Cal Poly Mustangs at Idaho Vandals?
14 November 2026, at ICCU Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.