14 Nov 2026 · Rupp Arena
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Kentucky Wildcats
We have Kentucky Wildcats at 98.6% and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at 1.4%.
Ratings going in: Kentucky 1986, N Arizona 1369, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: NAU +1.8 game score against its usual; UK +6.1 game score against its usual. Net 35 rating points to UK.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Kentucky | N Arizona |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 98.6% | 1.4% |
| Polymarket | 88.0% | 12.0% |
| Kalshi | 98.5% | 1.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks LLL, Kentucky Wildcats WWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Kentucky Wildcats?
PodiumOracle's model makes Kentucky Wildcats the favourite at 99%, with Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at 1%. The markets give Kentucky Wildcats 99% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 99% favourite still loses 1% of the time.
When and where is Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Kentucky Wildcats?
14 November 2026, at Rupp Arena. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.