14 Nov 2026 · Breslin Center
Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans
We have Michigan State Spartans at 91.3% and Northern Iowa Panthers at 8.7%.
Ratings going in: Michigan St 2175, Northern Iowa 1842, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: UNI +5.1 game score against its usual; MSU +3.2 game score against its usual. Net 15 rating points to UNI.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Michigan St | Northern Iowa |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 91.3% | 8.7% |
| Polymarket | 88.0% | 11.9% |
| Kalshi | 98.0% | 2.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Northern Iowa Panthers WLW, Michigan State Spartans WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans?
PodiumOracle's model makes Michigan State Spartans the favourite at 91%, with Northern Iowa Panthers at 9%. The markets give Michigan State Spartans 98% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 91% favourite still loses 9% of the time.
When and where is Northern Iowa Panthers at Michigan State Spartans?
14 November 2026, at Breslin Center. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.