14 Nov 2026 · The Super Pit
South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green
We have North Texas Mean Green at 85.9% and South Alabama Jaguars at 14.1%.
Ratings going in: North Texas 1769, South Alabama 1573, plus 90 for playing at home.
Who is playing: USA -0.2 game score against its usual; UNT +3.4 game score against its usual. Net 29 rating points to UNT.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | North Texas | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 85.9% | 14.1% |
| Polymarket | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Kalshi | 85.5% | 14.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: South Alabama Jaguars LWL, North Texas Mean Green WWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green?
PodiumOracle's model makes North Texas Mean Green the favourite at 86%, with South Alabama Jaguars at 14%. The markets give North Texas Mean Green 86% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 86% favourite still loses 14% of the time.
When and where is South Alabama Jaguars at North Texas Mean Green?
14 November 2026, at The Super Pit. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.