Pac-12 Conference

San Diego State Aztecs

Rated 1947 (No. 39 of 364), 3–0 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

16%
Make tournament
4%
Sweet 16
1%
Final Four
<1%
Title game
<1%
Win title
18.5
Projected wins

Rating

San Diego State Aztecs is rated 1947, No. 39 of 364. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Questions and answers

What is San Diego State Aztecs' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. San Diego State Aztecs are No. 39 of 364 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.