Coastal Athletic Association

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Rated 1813 (No. 81 of 364), 3–0 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

73%
Make tournament
10%
Sweet 16
<1%
Final Four
<1%
Title game
<1%
Win title
23.5
Projected wins

Rating

UNC Wilmington Seahawks is rated 1813, No. 81 of 364. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Questions and answers

What is UNC Wilmington Seahawks' chance of winning the 2026–27 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. UNC Wilmington Seahawks are No. 81 of 364 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.