Division I
Virginia Cavaliers
Rated 1845 (No. 18 of 133), 8–8 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 91%
- Make tournament
- 40%
- Second round
- 13%
- Quarterfinal
- 4%
- Final Four
- 1%
- Title game
- <1%
- Win title
- 8.5
- Projected wins
Rating
Virginia Cavaliers is rated 1845, No. 18 of 133. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Questions and answers
What is Virginia Cavaliers' chance of winning the 2027 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Virginia Cavaliers are No. 18 of 133 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.