Lacrosse · 2026 season over
NCAA women's lacrosse forecasts
The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: North Carolina Tar Heels, 44%. The full early look.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | North Carolina Tar Heels at Northwestern Wildcats | 11–14 | 39% |
| 22 May 2026 | Maryland Terrapins at North Carolina Tar Heels | 6–16 | 91% |
| 22 May 2026 | Johns Hopkins Blue Jays at Northwestern Wildcats | 11–16 | 85% |
| 14 May 2026 | Stony Brook Seawolves at Johns Hopkins Blue Jays | 12–13 | 51% |
| 14 May 2026 | Colorado Buffaloes at Northwestern Wildcats | 12–13 | 90% |
| 14 May 2026 | Navy Midshipmen at Maryland Terrapins | 10–14 | 64% |
| 14 May 2026 | Stanford Cardinal at North Carolina Tar Heels | 11–14 | 89% |
| 10 May 2026 | Clemson Tigers at North Carolina Tar Heels | 6–17 | 91% |
| 10 May 2026 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Maryland Terrapins | 8–11 | 88% |
| 10 May 2026 | Boston College Eagles at Stony Brook Seawolves | 9–10 | 55% |
| 10 May 2026 | Army Black Knights at Johns Hopkins Blue Jays | 13–21 | 79% |
| 10 May 2026 | Stanford Cardinal at Michigan Wolverines | 13–12 | 48% |
Chance of winning the national championship
| Team | Make tournament | Second round | Quarterfinal | Final Four | Title game | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Tar Heels | 100% | 98% | 90% | 79% | 66% | 44% |
| Northwestern Wildcats | 100% | 97% | 88% | 75% | 60% | 34% |
| Stanford Cardinal | 100% | 82% | 53% | 27% | 10% | 3% |
| Maryland Terrapins | >99% | 78% | 47% | 23% | 8% | 3% |
| Stony Brook Seawolves | >99% | 79% | 48% | 22% | 7% | 2% |
| Johns Hopkins Blue Jays | >99% | 74% | 39% | 17% | 6% | 2% |
| Clemson Tigers | >99% | 75% | 42% | 19% | 6% | 2% |
| Boston College Eagles | >99% | 72% | 37% | 16% | 6% | 2% |
| Michigan Wolverines | >99% | 70% | 36% | 15% | 5% | 1% |
| Syracuse Orange | 99% | 66% | 31% | 13% | 4% | 1% |