Big West Conference
Cal Poly Mustangs
Rated 1839 (No. 36 of 348), 17–7 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 91%
- Make tournament
- 7%
- Regional semifinal
- 2%
- Regional final
- <1%
- Final Four
- <1%
- Win title
- 20.8
- Projected wins
Rating
Cal Poly Mustangs is rated 1839, No. 36 of 348. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Questions and answers
What is Cal Poly Mustangs' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Cal Poly Mustangs are No. 36 of 348 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.