Big Ten Conference
Penn State Nittany Lions
Rated 2206 (No. 5 of 348), 20–5 this season, 5% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 100%
- Make tournament
- 82%
- Regional semifinal
- 56%
- Regional final
- 29%
- Final Four
- 5%
- Win title
- 21.7
- Projected wins
Rating
Penn State Nittany Lions is rated 2206, No. 5 of 348. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Penn State Nittany Lions at Maryland Terrapins | 3–0 | 95% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Penn State Nittany Lions at Wisconsin Badgers | 3–2 | 36% |
Questions and answers
What is Penn State Nittany Lions' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
5%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Penn State Nittany Lions are No. 5 of 348 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.