America East Conference
UMBC Retrievers
Rated 1645 (No. 87 of 348), 14–5 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 38%
- Make tournament
- <1%
- Regional semifinal
- <1%
- Regional final
- 0%
- Final Four
- 0%
- Win title
- 15.9
- Projected wins
Rating
UMBC Retrievers is rated 1645, No. 87 of 348. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | UMBC Retrievers at NJIT Highlanders | 99% | 1% |
Questions and answers
What is UMBC Retrievers' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. UMBC Retrievers are No. 87 of 348 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do UMBC Retrievers play next, and what are their chances?
UMBC Retrievers at NJIT Highlanders on 13 November 2026 at Joel & Diane Bloom Wellness and Events Center. PodiumOracle's model gives UMBC Retrievers 99%.