Atlantic Coast Conference
North Carolina Tar Heels
Rated 1929 (No. 25 of 348), 16–6 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 98%
- Make tournament
- 19%
- Regional semifinal
- 5%
- Regional final
- 1%
- Final Four
- <1%
- Win title
- 19.6
- Projected wins
Rating
North Carolina Tar Heels is rated 1929, No. 25 of 348. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils | 71% | 29% |
Questions and answers
What is North Carolina Tar Heels' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. North Carolina Tar Heels are No. 25 of 348 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do North Carolina Tar Heels play next, and what are their chances?
North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils on 12 November 2026 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives North Carolina Tar Heels 71%.