Race 1 · 9 Jan 2027 · Alicante
The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race Alicante
Each team's chance from 20,000 simulations of the race, using ratings fit only on earlier results. In the championship, United by the Ocean is 34% to win the title.
The field
| Team | Win | Podium |
|---|---|---|
| United by the Ocean | 33% | 77% |
| 11th Hour Racing | 20% | 60% |
| DMG MORI Global One | 15% | 51% |
| Team Malizia | 14% | 46% |
| Embrace the Challenge | 11% | 37% |
| MSIG Europe | 8% | 29% |
Chance of winning the The Ocean Race
| Team | Points | Projected | Title chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| United by the Ocean | 0 | 30 | 34% |
| 11th Hour Racing | 0 | 26 | 20% |
| DMG MORI Global One | 0 | 25 | 16% |
| Team Malizia | 0 | 24 | 13% |
| Embrace the Challenge | 0 | 22 | 11% |
| MSIG Europe | 0 | 20 | 7% |
Calendar
- The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race Alicante 9 Jan 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 1 Alicante – Auckland 17 Jan 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 1 · scoring gate 2 Feb 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race Auckland 6 Mar 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 2 Auckland – Itajaí 14 Mar 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 2 · scoring gate 24 Mar 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race Itajaí 10 Apr 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 3 Itajaí – St. Pete-Clearwater 18 Apr 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race St. Pete-Clearwater 8 May 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 4 St. Pete-Clearwater – Cascais 16 May 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race Cascais 29 May 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · Leg 5 Cascais – AMAALA 6 Jun 2027
- The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race AMAALA 3 Jul 2027
Questions and answers
Who will win The Ocean Race 2027 · In-port race Alicante?
United by the Ocean is the favourite at 33%, ahead of 11th Hour Racing (20%), DMG MORI Global One (15%) and Team Malizia (14%), from 20,000 simulations of the race with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who is favoured to win the 2027 The Ocean Race?
United by the Ocean, at 34%, ahead of 11th Hour Racing (20%) and DMG MORI Global One (16%), from 10,000 simulations of the remaining races with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's The Ocean Race predictions?
On 8 races from held-back seasons (Europe 2025 to Atlantic 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, its favourite won 75% of the time in fields of about 7, and it gave the eventual winner 27% on average. Its log loss was 1.422, against 1.907 for treating every team as equal and 1.658 for recent form.