Ice hockey · 2026–27 season
QMJHL forecasts
Win probabilities for every game from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the President Cup odds. Favourite right now: Val-d'Or Foreurs, 38%.
Upcoming
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov 2026 | Québec Remparts at Moncton Wildcats | 3–1 | 56% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Drummondville Voltigeurs at Baie-Comeau Drakkar | 8–4 | 60% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Victoriaville Tigres at Rouyn-Noranda Huskies | 0–1 | 41% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Sherbrooke Phœnix at Shawinigan Cataractes | 5–4 | 57% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Cape Breton Eagles at Moncton Wildcats | 1–4 | 48% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Québec Remparts at Rimouski Océanic | 3–2 | 52% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Gatineau Olympiques at Val-d'Or Foreurs | 3–5 | 73% |
| 8 Nov 2026 | Saint John Sea Dogs at Charlottetown Islanders | 5–1 | 57% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Cape Breton Eagles at Charlottetown Islanders | 3–4 | 40% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Saint John Sea Dogs at Halifax Mooseheads | 6–2 | 44% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Blainville-Boisbriand Armada at Baie-Comeau Drakkar | 2–0 | 52% |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Drummondville Voltigeurs at Chicoutimi Saguenéens | 4–2 | 36% |
Chance of winning the President Cup
| Team | Make playoffs | Conference semi-final | Conference final | Final | Win the President Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val-d'Or Foreurs | 100% | 92% | 76% | 52% | 38% |
| Québec Remparts | >99% | 80% | 58% | 39% | 17% |
| Victoriaville Tigres | 100% | 84% | 57% | 27% | 17% |
| Saint John Sea Dogs | >99% | 65% | 37% | 18% | 7% |
| Chicoutimi Saguenéens | 96% | 49% | 24% | 12% | 4% |
| Sherbrooke Phœnix | 100% | 58% | 21% | 7% | 3% |
| Rouyn-Noranda Huskies | 100% | 54% | 18% | 6% | 3% |
| Rimouski Océanic | 96% | 44% | 19% | 8% | 2% |
| Drummondville Voltigeurs | 100% | 48% | 15% | 5% | 2% |
| Newfoundland Regiment | 97% | 45% | 19% | 7% | 2% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the 2026–27 President Cup?
Val-d'Or Foreurs, at 38%, ahead of Québec Remparts (17%), Victoriaville Tigres (17%) and Saint John Sea Dogs (7%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next QMJHL games?
According to PodiumOracle's model: Québec Remparts at Saint John Sea Dogs (12 November 2026): Québec Remparts 51%; Baie-Comeau Drakkar at Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (13 November 2026): Blainville-Boisbriand Armada 68%; Drummondville Voltigeurs at Shawinigan Cataractes (13 November 2026): Drummondville Voltigeurs 57%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's QMJHL predictions?
On 1,468 games from held-back seasons (2024–25 to 2026–27), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 63% of the time. Its log loss was 0.632, against 0.691 for the base rate and 0.659 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished games, its log loss was 0.623 against the bookmakers' 0.605 over 345 games (lower is better).
How are the QMJHL predictions made?
Every team has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the President Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.