14 Feb 2026 · Scottish Gas Murrayfield
England at Scotland
England 20 – 31 Scotland · Scotland won. We had Scotland at 23.0%, a draw at 2.5% and England at 74.5%.
Ratings before the game: Scotland 1728, England 2041, plus 115 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 1°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 19).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Scotland | Draw | England |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 23.0% | 2.5% | 74.5% |
| Bookmakers (1 book) | 25.7% | 3.6% | 70.6% |
| Polymarket | 19.4% | 2.2% | 78.3% |
| Kalshi | 20.6% | 2.0% | 77.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: England W, Scotland L.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won England at Scotland?
Scotland won 31–20 on 14 February 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Scotland 23%.