Rugby union · 2026 season over

Six Nations forecasts

The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule is out, here is an early look: last season's schedule played 10,000 times a year on, with every rating carried over the way the model carries it between seasons. Early favourite: Ireland, 39%. The full early look.

Recent results

All results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
14 Mar 2026Scotland at Ireland21–4382%
14 Mar 2026Italy at Wales17–3121%
14 Mar 2026England at France46–4881%
7 Mar 2026France at Scotland40–5032%
7 Mar 2026England at Italy18–2336%
6 Mar 2026Wales at Ireland17–2799%
22 Feb 2026Italy at France8–3393%
21 Feb 2026Ireland at England42–2131%
21 Feb 2026Scotland at Wales26–2383%
15 Feb 2026France at Wales54–1295%
14 Feb 2026Italy at Ireland13–2088%
14 Feb 2026England at Scotland20–3123%

Chance of winning the Six Nations title

Every team

TeamWin the championshipWooden spoon
Ireland39%<1%
France25%<1%
England20%1%
Scotland15%1%
Wales<1%50%
Italy<1%47%