15 Nov 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit
We have Josh Hokit at 44.6% and Ciryl Gane at 55.4%.
Ratings going in: Hokit 1714, Gane 1751.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Hokit | Gane |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 44.6% | 55.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Polymarket | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Kalshi | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Ciryl Gane W, Josh Hokit WWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit?
PodiumOracle's model makes Ciryl Gane the favourite at 55%, with Josh Hokit at 45%. The markets give Ciryl Gane 64% on Polymarket, 63% on Kalshi and 65% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 55% favourite still loses 45% of the time.
When and where is Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit?
15 November 2026, at Madison Square Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.