15 Nov 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes
We have Amanda Nunes at 45.7% and Kayla Harrison at 54.3%.
Ratings going in: Nunes 1703, Harrison 1733.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Nunes | Harrison |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.7% | 54.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| Polymarket | 37.5% | 62.5% |
| Kalshi | 36.0% | 64.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Kayla Harrison no games yet, Amanda Nunes no games yet.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes?
PodiumOracle's model makes Kayla Harrison the favourite at 54%, with Amanda Nunes at 46%. The markets give Kayla Harrison 63% on Polymarket, 62% on Kalshi and 63% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 54% favourite still loses 46% of the time.
When and where is Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes?
15 November 2026, at Madison Square Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.