15 Nov 2026 · Madison Square Garden
Yousri Belgaroui vs Caio Borralho
We have Caio Borralho at 60.1% and Yousri Belgaroui at 39.9%.
Ratings going in: Borralho 1698, Belgaroui 1627.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Borralho | Belgaroui |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 59.1% | 40.9% |
| Polymarket | 58.5% | 41.5% |
| Kalshi | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this fight: Yousri Belgaroui WW, Caio Borralho W.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Yousri Belgaroui vs Caio Borralho?
PodiumOracle's model makes Caio Borralho the favourite at 60%, with Yousri Belgaroui at 40%. The markets give Caio Borralho 59% on Polymarket, 58% on Kalshi and 59% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 60% favourite still loses 40% of the time.
When and where is Yousri Belgaroui vs Caio Borralho?
15 November 2026, at Madison Square Garden. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.